| 
                         
                      
                        
                          
                            | 
                               Status 
                             | 
                            Construction scheme
                                (future)  | 
                           
                          
                            | 
                               Where 
                             | 
                            To
                                connect the A1 Newry Bypass directly to
                                the A2 Warrenpoint Road, around the
                                south side of the city  | 
                           
                          
                            | 
                               Total
                                Length  
                             | 
                            Approx 1.5 miles /
                                2.4km depending on route chosen  | 
                           
                          
                            | 
                               Dates  
                             | 
                            
                               Included in draft
                                "Banbridge Newry & Mourne Area Plan
                                2015" - August 2006  
                              Feasibility study
                                published - August 2009 
                              Scheme moved to
                                forward planning schedule - 28 November
                                2014 
                                Consultant appointed to produce Stage 1
                                Report - March 2015 
                              Stage 1 Scheme
                                Assessment Report published - 15 June
                                2017 
                              Public consultation
                                held - 14 & 15 November 2017 
                              Preferred route
                                announced - 3 October 2018 
                                Statutory Orders to be published
                                (presumably in draft form) - 2019 (as of
                                Jan 2017) 
                                Given a funding commitment as part of
                                the Belfast City Deal - 2018 
                              Belfast Region City
                                Deal signed (which provides funding) -
                                Dec 2021 
                                Draft legal orders and Environmental
                                Statement due to be published - early
                                2024 
                               
                              Public inquiry likely
                                to happen - date not yet known 
                                Earliest possible commencement of
                                construction - 2028 (as of Aug 2023;
                                  changed from 2025-27 as of May 2021;
                                  2023-25 as of Oct 2020) 
                               
                             | 
                           
                          
                            | 
                               Cost 
                             | 
                            
                               £110m to £130m - as of
                                Jan 2025 
                                (£85-100m - as of 2018;
                                  £78-128m as of 2017; £100-211m as of
                                  2009) 
                                £93.4m of cost to be funded from the
                                2021 Belfast Region City Deal 
                               
                             | 
                           
                          
                            | 
                               Photos 
                             | 
                            None as yet -
                                please contact me if you have any to
                                contribute.  | 
                           
                          
                            | 
                               See
                                  Also  
                             | 
                            
                               General
                                  area map - Google Maps  
                              A1
                                  Newry Bypass scheme - on this site 
                              A2
                                  Warrenpoint Road - on this site  
                              Banbridge
                                  Newry & Mourne Area Plan 2015
                                - Planning Service  
                             | 
                           
                        
                       
                      Click
                              here to jump straight down to updates
                            for this scheme. 
                       
                      The arterial A1 runs around the western side of
                        Newry city. Another dual-carriageway, the A2
                        Warrenpoint Road, runs east to Warrenpoint
                        harbour from Newry. However, despite being only
                        a mile apart, on opposite banks of the river,
                        the only way to go between them is to drive
                        right into the centre of the city. Local
                        politicians have long called for a southern
                        relief road to link them up, and this proposal
                        was included in the draft "Banbridge Newry &
                        Mourne Area Plan 2015" published in August 2006,
                        along with a suggested route corridor. A
                        feasibility study was published in August 2009
                        which found that the road should be built, but
                        also noted the proposed route was not an
                        efficient or easy one and suggested three other
                        routes which were both cheaper and easier to
                        build. A Stage 1 assessment report was published
                        in 2017 and suggested three routes for further
                        study. The preferred route was announced in
                        2018. 
                      Route 
                       
                      The graphic below shows the proposed route as
                        of June 2019. 
                       
                      
                      The 2017 Stage 1 Scheme Assessment Report
                        suggested three possible corridors - known as 4A
                        (red), 4B (orange) and 5 (purple). Routes 4A and
                        4B are identical except for the location of the
                        bridge over the Newry River. 
                       
                      
                      Previous Proposals 
                       
                      The 2009 Feasibility
                        Report did not carry out an extensive study into
                        routes, but did note that the original "blue"
                        route proposed in 2006 (estimated cost 2009
                        £178-186m) "includes some significant
                          challenges, including proximity to the
                          existing Dromalane Quarry and the provision of
                          suitable access arrangements onto the A1...".
                        They proposed three further routes: 
                      
                        - The Greenbank Corridor,
                          which ran from either the
                          Ellisholding Road junction on the A1 or
                          the Cloghogue junction on the A1 and ran north
                          east to the existing roundabout on the A2
                          quite close to the city centre. Estimated cost
                          in 2009 was £104-124m.
 
                         
                        - The Low-Medium Level Corridor,
                          which ran from Ellisholding Road junction on
                          the A1 south-east across a low-level bridge to
                          the A2 Warrenpoint Road. Estimated cost in
                          2009 was £100-132m.
 
                        - The High Level Corridor,
                          which was similar to the Low-Medium Level
                          Corridor except that the bridge was higher
                          above water level and swung inland to return
                          to ground level. Estimated cost in 2009 was
                          £211m, the most expensive of the three.
 
                       
                      All three of these
                        options would have required the addition of
                        south-facing sliproads at the existing
                        Ellisholding Road grade separated junction on
                        the A1. 
                      Updates 
                       
                      8 Oct 2025: In a report
                        to Newry, Mourne and Down District Council two
                        weeks ago DFI updated us on this scheme. The
                        public consultation which was held in February
                        resulted in 200 responses which DFI are
                        considering. Of these, 154 were objections and
                        of those 55% related to the decision to build a
                        fixed bridge over the Newry river. The overall
                        report discusses three major road schemes (the
                        other two being A1
                          junctions phase 2 and the A24 Ballynahinch
                          Bypass). However only the report on this
                        scheme refers to the court ruling against the A5
                        project under the Climate Change Act that
                        happened in the summer. They say "Department
                          officials are currently working through the
                          judgement, however, it is too soon to conclude
                          on the implications to other infrastructure
                          projects, such as Newry Southern Relief Road".
                        This may because the formal decision to proceed
                        has already been taken for those other schemes,
                        meaning that (by understanding) it's too late to
                        launch a legal challenge to the decision to
                        proceed with them. The report also says
                        (unsurprisingly) that a pubic inquiry will
                        almost certainly be held, though no timescale is
                        given. It should also again be noted that the
                        scheme has a funding shortfall (according
                        to the Minister Liz Kimmins) of £22 million,
                        since the current estimated cost is £110-130m
                        but only £93.4m allocated from the Belfast
                        Region City Deal. So if this scheme is going to
                        happen money will have to come from somewhere,
                        and at this point the only place I could see it
                        coming from is funding from the delayed A5
                        scheme. However that's an Executive decision
                        that's not within the remit of the DFI Minister
                        to decide alone. So as of now the project has
                        the wind against it with constraints resulting
                        from (a) public opposition to the bridge design
                        (b) climate considerations and (c) funding
                        pressures. 
                       
                      12 Feb 2025: As announced, the public
                        consultation to the scheme is now open, viewable
                        at Newry Leisure Centre on Cecil Street until 4
                        March. The Environmental Impact reports and
                        draft legal orders for the scheme - which are
                        BIG - are accessible online here.
                        These include copies of the displays visible at
                        the exhibition, maps showing the route of the
                        planned road, the land to be vested and
                        information on the impact on shipping on the
                        river and canal. Members of the public have
                        until 4 March to give their opinion, which will
                        probably next be subject of a public inquiry.
                        You can email comments directly to southern.sri@infrastructure-ni.gov.uk 
                      13 Jan 2025: The autumn public
                        consultation mentioned in September didn't
                        happen after all. However, DFI announced ten
                        days ago that it would take place from Tuesday
                        21 January at Newry Leisure Centre on Cecil
                        Street. It will be there until 4 March and
                        during this six week period anyone can make a
                        response to the proposals (details
                          here). The purpose of the exhibition is to
                        formally set out the legal documents described
                        in the previous update (below). The process will
                        probably lead to a public inquiry later this
                        year. The press release also sets out the
                        estimated cost as £110-130m. This is
                        considerably higher than the £85-100m figure
                        that was given in 2018, and reflects the
                        substantial rate of construction inflation over
                        the past five years. This also confirms that the
                        cost now exceeds the £93.4m allocated from the
                        Belfast Region City Deal, which means DFI will
                        need to find additional cash to complete the
                        project. This may be one of the reasons the
                        Minister is so reluctant to increase the cost by
                        a further £10m by agreeing to a lifting bridge
                        over the Newry Canal, rather than the planned
                        fixed bridge. 
                       
                      29 Sep 2024: In a report
                        to Newry, Mourne and Down District Council last
                        week, DFI stated that they are almost ready
                        publish the draft legal documents and the draft
                        Environmental Impact Assessment Report (EIAR)
                        for this scheme. The legal documents are the
                        Direction Order (which gives DFI the right to
                        build a new trunk road) and the Vesting Order
                        (which transfers ownership of the required land
                        to DFI). The EIAR is essentially DFI's
                        justification for building the road. These will
                        be put out to a public consultation in "autumn
                        2024" (so anytime in the next nine weeks). If a
                        public inquiry is needed (and given the
                        controversy of the bridge, this is a virtual
                        certainty) then that would be the next stage of
                        the process, perhaps in late 2025. This scheme
                        is due to be funded by Belfast Region City Deal
                        which, thankfully, does not seem to have been
                        "paused" by the UK government as two others have
                        been. This at least means that the scheme
                        probably won't have to sit for years awaiting a
                        funding allocation once planning is completed. 
                       
                      8 May 2024: The main point of
                        conversation about this road has been the
                        decision by DFI civil servants in 2023 (when
                        there was no Executive) to build a fixed bridge
                        over the Newry Canal, which will block tall
                        ships from passing under. In March, once the new
                        Assembly was up and running, the DFI Minister announced
                        that he was going to "review the decision
                          taken... to have a 50m span fixed
                          bridge over the Newry Ship Canal". At the
                        end of April he gave his response
                        – "I have now completed this review and can
                          confirm that the decision for a 50m span fixed
                          bridge remains unchanged.". DFI have said
                        that an opening bridge would cost an extra £10m
                        and also that having a shorter span (which would
                        be needed to have an opening section) "adversely
                          impacts on the scheduled monument of Newry
                          Canal". The Minister also said that
                        changing the plans at this stage would take
                        extra time and he is keen to get the road built.
                        My feeling is that the first reason is more
                        likely to be the clincher, as the scheme is
                        funded by the City Deal so in the current
                        economic climate adding the cost of a lifting
                        bridge could well be enough to kill the entire
                        scheme through a funding shortfall. With a
                        public inquiry yet to happen, however, I'd
                        expect this debate to rumble on for some time
                        yet. 
                       
                      6 Oct 2023: DFI Roads are going to be holding
                          a public exhibition about the current
                        status of the scheme later this month. The event
                        is likely to be dominated by the decision (March
                        2023) to build a fixed low-level bridge over the
                        Newry Canal. This has met local opposition due
                        to the fact that it will block access to tall
                        ships reaching Newry. DFI's position is
                        restricted by the fact that the budget for the
                        scheme is largely fixed by the City Deal
                        funding, meaning that the scheme has
                        insufficient funds to include a lifting bridge.
                        So this event is a good opportunity for locals
                        to express their views and also understand the
                        various limitations on the scheme. Lack of an
                        Executive seriously hinders any effort to
                        acquire more funds for the scheme. More funds
                        may even be necessary without a change to the
                        design, due to construction inflation, so the
                        whole situation is a bit of a headache for civil
                        servants. Anyway, you can go and see the
                        exhibition at Newry Leisure Centre on Cecil
                        Street from 10am-8pm from Monday 16 to Thursday
                        19 October. However, DFI staff will only be
                        present on the Thursday so if you want to engage
                        with DFI staff you will need to go on that day.
                        If you can't make the exhibition, but still want
                        to provide your views, see the bottom
                          of the press release. 
                       
                      18 Aug 2023: DFI Roads this week released
                        a document showing how the current roads
                        programme will be prioritised in the current
                        economic and legislative climate, where DFI is
                        now required to de-carbonise transport. The
                        Newry SRR has remained on the current programme,
                        principally because it has a confirmed funding
                        allocation of £93.4m from the Belfast Region
                        City Deal. This funding is only sufficient to
                        build a fixed bridge over the Newry Canal, so if
                        the local pressure to build a moveable pressure
                        was to result in a design change, new funding
                        would need to be identified in order to proceed.
                        The next stage is the publication of draft legal
                        documents (needed to build a new road and
                        bridge) and an Environmental Statement (setting
                        out DFI's justification for the road). These are
                        expected in "early" 2024. These would be put out
                        for public consultation and would almost
                        certainly then lead to a public inquiry, a
                        process which can take maybe 18 months. This
                        would be followed by DFI taking time to consider
                        the outcome and, if approved, would then lead to
                        a procurement process of perhaps a year.
                        Therefore, as DFI state, the earliest possible
                        start year for construction would be 2028. (As
                        an aside, it has occurred to me that providing
                        this new road link from the A1 at Ellisholding
                        Road to the A2 Warrenpoint Road would remove one
                        of the last arguments against giving the Newry
                        Bypass motorway status to mirror its extension
                        in the Republic of Ireland. The lack of a
                        reasonable quality route for non-motorway
                        traffic from Newry to the old Dublin Road at
                        Ellisholding Road was previously given as an
                        argument against doing this. This new road would
                        create such a link that entirely uses A-class
                        roads. The Newry Bypass was otherwise built to
                        full motorway standard, so why not? Food for
                        thought.) 
                       
                      28 Apr 2023: Newry.ie, a Newry-based
                        social enterprise, has published an interesting
                          piece which explores what has been going
                        on between the council and DFI about the
                        question of a fixed versus moving bridge to
                        carry the NSRR over the Newry Canal. In early
                        March DFI decided to go with the "fixed" option.
                        The piece in Newry.ie suggests that more has
                        been going on behind the scenes to inform this
                        decision, namely that the council's own
                        consultants may have recommended that in the
                        future tall ships should be accommodated
                        downstream at Warrenpoint, while the Albert
                        Basin in Newry would be reserved for smaller
                        craft without masts. That's ultimately a matter
                        for the council to decide, but if so it does
                        render the design of the nearby Narrow
                          Water Bridge somewhat redundant if there
                        is no longer a plan to allow tall ships to sail
                        to Newry. Narrow Water Bridge is to be built
                        with an opening section. Construction on that
                        bridge is due to begin within the next twelve
                        months. With thanks to Patrick McGivern for the
                        heads-up. 
                       
                      10 Mar 2023: DFI published a press
                          release last week stating that they had
                        decided to adopt a non-opening bridge for the
                        crossing of the Newry canal and river on this
                        scheme - see images below. This will be a
                        controversial choice, given that local opinion
                        has been generally in favour of an opening
                        bridge that would not impede tall ships coming
                        up to Newry, and given that the Narrow Water
                        Bridge which is to be built a few miles
                        downstream will be an opening bridge. The
                        proposed bridge would have a clearance of 12
                        metres. The decision is not final (this is a
                        “preferred” option) as the scheme would still
                        need to go through a public inquiry where all of
                        this would be aired.  
                       
                      The press release notes that (as we already
                        knew) the project has a funding allocation from
                        the Belfast City Deal of £93.4m. Given that the
                        moveable bridge has an additional whole-life
                        cost of £18-32m over and above the cost of a
                        fixed bridge, I think this funding source
                        explains their preference for a fixed bridge.
                        The funding allocated isn’t sufficient for a
                        moveable bridge. The economic case for the fixed
                        bridge is pretty solid, but it could be that
                        public opinion regards other considerations to
                        have weight too. The only way a moveable bridge
                        can be built is if “someone else” provides the
                        additional funding. The obvious source would be
                        the Department for Infrastructure, which would
                        require the approval of both a local
                        Infrastructure Minister and a local Executive.
                        So a return to power-sharing seems to me to be
                        the only way that a moveable bridge will be
                        provided. This announcement came unexpectedly
                        during the week that the new UK-EU agreement on
                        the Northern Ireland Protocol was announced, and
                        I can’t help but wonder if they are linked,
                        especially given how much the “non-opening”
                        aspect of the choice was emphasised in the press
                        release. Is it perhaps an attempt to give local
                        politicians a reason to get back into
                        government? Who knows.  
                       
                        DFI mockup of the proposed Southern Relief Road
                        (foreground) and a fixed bridge over the Newry
                        canal and river.
                          
                        DFI mockup of how the bridge would look in
                        closeup. With a 12 metre clearance it would
                        still be a tall structure.
                        
                      10 Aug 2022: DFI recently published
                        the "first day briefing" that was given to the
                        DFI Minister John O'Dowd when he entered his
                        post in May 2022. The briefing for this scheme
                        focuses on the controversy about the fixed vs
                        lifting bridge over the Newry river (see
                        previous update). It notes that the additional
                        whole-life cost of a moveable bridge (60 years)
                        would be £18-32m. In contrast, research
                        commissioned by Newry, Mourne and Down District
                        Council suggests that the loss to the economy of
                        a fixed bridge over the same timeframe would be
                        less than £200k. It is also worth noting that
                        the funding given to the road in the Belfast
                        Region City Deal is only sufficient for a fixed
                        bridge, so if a moveable bridge was chosen the
                        additional money required would have to be
                        provided by the Executive which (as well as not
                        currently in existence) is facing considerable
                        funding pressures. Economically, the case for a
                        fixed bridge is rock solid. It remains to be
                        seen whether other factors will be enough to
                        over-ride these facts.  
                       
                      13 Feb 2022: A quick update to note this
                          news article from January which reports
                        continued disagreement locally about the
                        preferred design of a fixed bridge over the
                        Newry river. Peter Maxwell, of the Inland
                        Waterways Association of Ireland is quoted as
                        saying "It has to be an opening bridge unless
                          you want to see [Albert] basin [in Newry]
                          completely naked with no boats in it at all."
                        James McArevey, of the Newry Maritime
                        Association said "We realise the road is
                          needed. If it does go ahead and it isn't a
                          lifting bridge, we would suggest a compromise
                          that the tall ships could be accommodated
                          south of the bridge." Because the scheme
                        has not yet had a public inquiry, and it's
                        virtually certain that it will, there is still
                        an opportunity for all of this to be aired an
                        examined. The outgoing DFI Minister has
                        previously indicated an openness to considering
                        different options for the bridge even at this
                        stage. 
                       
                      16 Jan 2022: The Belfast Region City
                        Deal was signed
                        on 17 December 2021. This is significant because
                        this is the source of the funding for the Newry
                        Southern Relief Road (though it hasn't actually
                        been provided yet), a project whose future now
                        seems secure. This is unusual among road schemes
                        which normally clear their planning hurdles before
                        funding is allocated for construction. The Investment
                          Strategy for Northern Ireland web site
                        still shows the procurement process to get
                        underway between Dec 2023 and Sep 2024, with
                        construction estimated to take place from March
                        2025 to September 2027, i.e. a construction
                        period of two-and-a-half years. Meanwhile, the
                        project is still in the planning stages with a
                        public inquiry likely to be needed at some
                        point. Given that a public inquiry process can
                        take a year or more to complete, it would need
                        to take place soon for the timescale above to be
                        achieved. The debate between a fixed bridge and
                        a moving bridge over the Newry canal is still
                        ongoing, but nothing further has been said about
                        this. 
                       
                      5 May 2021: Local media is reporting unease
                        within Newry, Mourne and Down Council about
                        DFI's preferred option for a fixed bridge to
                        carry the Newry Southern Relief Road over the
                        Newry Canal, on the grounds that such a bridge
                        would limit maritime traffic on the canal. DFI
                        have not committed to a particular design, with
                        a fixed bridge being their "preference" at this
                        time. A high-level bridge or a "lifting" bridge
                        are both options, though they would cost
                        substantially more than the fixed low-level
                        bridge. Meanwhile, the Investment
                          Strategy for Northern Ireland shows the
                        anticipated timescale for the scheme has slipped
                        substantially, with the tender process now
                        estimated to begin by December 2023, 18 months
                        later than was anticipated last autumn (see
                        previous update). This would mean construction
                        is now planned for the period from March 2025 to
                        September 2027. Given that it is being funded by
                        the Belfast City Deal, such a substantial
                        slippage implies that the funding isn't expected
                        to be released by the City Deal authorities for
                        about three years. 
                       
                      29 Oct 2020: At a DFI Weekly
                          Business Review Meeting four weeks ago, it
                        was noted that DFI has been instructed
                        (presumably by the Minister) to "prepare a
                          paper on options for taking forward [the]
                          Newry Southern Relief Road...". This ties
                        in with the fact that the road is to be funded
                        through the Belfast City Deal and suggests that
                        DFI is actively planning a strategy for
                        construction. The Investment
                          Strategy for Northern Ireland is still
                        listing the scheme as a future contract, but the
                        start of the tender process has slipped slightly
                        from "late 2021" to the quarter ending "June
                        2022" with construction now planned for the
                        period from September 2023 to December 2025. 
                       
                      12 Jun 2020: The DFI Minister announced
                        her budget
                        for the next year, which allocated money to the
                        Executive's flagship projects (A5, A6 and
                        Belfast Transport Hub). She followed this up
                        today with a press
                          release clarifying that she had approved
                        funding for the continuation of planning of
                        several planned road schemes, including the
                        Newry Southern Relief Road, which is due to be
                        funded from the Belfast City deal. This
                        indicates that work on the scheme will be
                        ongoing. There has been no further public
                        announcements on progress since December 2019
                        (see previous update). However, minutes
                        of DFI Board meeting on 16 Dec 2019, recently
                        published, suggest that the Department for
                        Communities has raised concerns about the
                        proposal for a fixed bridge over the Newry Canal
                        (rather than a high bridge or a moveable bridge
                        which would allow all shipping to pass
                        unhindered). The minutes state that "DfC had
                          raised an issue in relation to the
                          construction of a fixed bridge on this scheme
                          and that this may require discussion at
                          Permanent Secretary level." This is likely
                        to be one of the main points that comes up in
                        any future public inquiry. 
                       
                      7 Jan 2020: Just before Christmas DFI published
                        a summary of the feedback that they received at
                        the public exhibition of June 2019. We need to
                        give the caveat that the people giving feedback
                        constituted a self-selecting sample (i.e., they
                        were those most motivated to give feedback), and
                        therefore may or may not be representative of
                        more general opinions in the local area.
                        However, it is still worth pausing to look at.
                        The feedback showed that the two factors deemed
                        to be of greatest importance by the public were
                        (1) reducing traffic congestion in Newry and (2)
                        minimising the impact on the environment.
                        Interestingly, the two factors deemed to be of
                        least importance by the public were (1)
                        achieving value for money and (2) ensuring that
                        shipping can still pass along the Newry Canal.
                        The second one is relevant in that the proposed
                        design would involve a fixed, low-level bridge
                        which would prevent taller vessels passing
                        upstream of the bridge. DFI did clarify this by
                        adding that, despite coming low overall in terms
                        of public priority, "the navigation of the
                          canal was the issue most highlighted as a
                          barrier to support of the scheme". The
                        only other significant issue that emerged from
                        the consultation was the access arrangements for
                        Loughway Business Park and Greenbank Industrial
                        Estate. (The new road would involve re-routing
                        the access road that runs through the industrial
                        estate, potentially isolating the southern end
                        from the remainder.) Overall, 53% of respondents
                        were in favour of the scheme and 34% opposed.
                        The scheme received a funding commitment through
                        the Belfast City Deal in 2018, but this money
                        has yet to appear. At this point in time, the
                        Investment Strategy for Northern Ireland web
                          site estimates that the scheme will go out
                        to tender in late 2021, with construction to
                        take place in the period 2023-25. These
                        timescales are, however, tentative. 
                       
                      26 Jun 2019: DFI Roads ran a public
                        exhibition on this scheme today and will hold it
                        again tomorrow (27th) at the Sean Hollywood Arts
                        Centre. You can see the leaflet that was given
                        out here.
                        The purpose of the exhibition seems to be to
                        gauge public opinion on what would certainly be
                        a beneficial scheme in transport terms, but also
                        an expensive one (c£100m) with a lot of
                        challenges. DFI have actually included a
                        statement to this effect in the public
                        exhibition, which is unusual but also an
                        acknowledgement that the scheme will not be easy
                        and will have an environmental cost. For
                        example, it is tricky in engineering terms, will
                        be steep in places, will cross the Newry Canal
                        and will impact on an AONB, an SLNCI and an area
                        of woodland. DFI say: 
                       The preferred route would encounter
                          numerous natural and built constraints that
                          the design must negotiate or mitigate to
                          enable the scheme to proceed. These include: 
                        - Land and Property; 
                        - Newry River and Ship Canal (Scheduled
                          Monument); 
                        - Gradient (crossing Fathom Mountain) and
                          terrain; 
                        - Ring Of Gullion Area of Outstanding
                          Natural Beauty (AONB); - Sites of Local Nature
                          Conservation Importance (SLNCI); and -
                          Long-Established Woodland (Benson’s Glen). 
                       DFI will produce a benefit/cost analysis which
                        will likely show that the scheme would bring
                        economic benefits. After that, the balance of
                        public opinion in the Newry area, whether it is
                        pro- or anti- this scheme, which will probably
                        influence whether and how things proceed. 
                       In terms of the design itself, I have included
                        a screenshot of the emerging design at the top
                        of this page. Beginning on the A1, south-facing
                        sliproads will be provided at Ellisholding Road
                        to match the existing north-facing sliproads and
                        provide full access. The road follows the old
                        Dublin Road for a short distance, before turning
                        sharply east via a roundabout. It goes straight
                        for a short distance, before heading steeply
                        down hill on a curve, which will require a
                        significant embankment. The steep incline means
                        that a climbing lane will be provided in the
                        uphill direction. It will then terminate at a
                        roundabout above Fathom Line before crossing
                        Fathom Line, the canal and the Newry River on a
                        bridge to terminate on the existing A2
                        Warrenpoint Road at another roundabout. 
                       
                      24 Mar 2019: The BBC reported
                        last week that one of the issues for the
                        proposed route of this scheme has been solved.
                        The terminus of the road on the A2 Warrenpoint
                        Road requires running through a GAA pitch (Gerry
                          Brown Park), and the owners have now
                        agreed to vacate the site. The scheme has yet to
                        go to a public inquiry but, if it does, one of
                        the controversial issues is likely to be the
                        clearance over the river. DFI's current plan
                        shows a bridge about ten metres above the river,
                        but the tall ships that sometimes go to the city
                        need 35 metres of clearance. DFI estimate that
                        an opening bridge is likely to add about £25m to
                        the cost of the £100m scheme, which would be a
                        substantial extra outlay. At the same time, a
                        fixed bridge would limit sailing on the river.
                        The scheme was given a funding committment as
                        part of Belfast's City Deal at the end of 2018.
                        However, the money hasn't yet been allocated and
                        in any case we're still a minimum of two years
                        away from construction due to the statutory
                        processes that still have to happen. This is one
                        of the most technically challenging schemes
                        undertaken in Northern Ireland in recent years,
                        combining steep terrain, environmentally
                        sensitive areas, navigable rivers, geologic
                        instability, woodland and highly constrained
                        route corridors. 
                       
                      6 Oct 2018: Last week DFI announced
                        the preferred route for this road. This follows
                        a public consultation 11 months ago at which
                        three proposed routes were present to the
                        public. These were routes 4A (red in the map
                        above), 4B (orange) and 5 (purple). Last
                        November I commented that route 5 (purple on the
                        map above) was the clear favourite as it's both
                        the cheapest and the most cost effective, and so
                        it has proved as DFI have selected route 5 as
                        their preferred route. So this means that, as
                        shown on the map above in purple, the new road
                        will begin on the current A1 at Ellisholding
                        Road - which will gain south-facing sliproads -
                        run along the old A1 for a short distance north
                        to a new roundabout, after which it will head
                        downhill towards the Newry River and canal
                        following an S-shaped route and then cross the
                        river on a bridge to the existing A2 Warrenpoint
                        Road. A short link road will connect the bridge
                        to the Fathom Line. DFI have pledged that "a
                        series of local exhibitions and information
                        events will be held over the coming months" so
                        we shall look forward to those. Assuming no
                        difficulties, DFI will now produce a detailed
                        Environmental Statement (which sets out the case
                        for building the road and the impact it will
                        have) and draft versions of the legal orders
                        needed. After that the normal procedure is a
                        public inquiry. So we're still a minimum of two
                        years away from having an approved scheme ready
                        for tendering, and at that point proceeding
                        further will depend on the availablility of
                        funding which has not currently been allocated.
                        A final point - choosing this route rules out
                        any possiblity of this scheme being combined
                        with the Narrow Water Bridge proposal. DFI's
                        preferred route makes more sense from the
                        viewpoint of Newry as a city than a route as far
                        south as Narrow Water, but does mean Narrow
                        Water Bridge needs to be a separate scheme. 
                       
                      24 May 2018: DFI have just released a copy
                          of a presentation that was recently given
                        on the progress of the scheme. It doesn't say
                        much that we didn't already know, but it does
                        provide a good summary of where we are now.
                        Notably, the presentation stresses that the
                        earliest  date for commencement is 2024.
                        This is unusual as DFI are usually very
                        retiscent to quote dates (because they're nearly
                        always optimistic) so all I would say on that is
                        that I would read this as the earliest
                        date (fair wind etc) rather than the most likely
                        date. The scheme is extremely challenging from
                        an engineering perspective, combining almost
                        every possible complication including steep
                        inclines, geologically unstable land, old
                        quarries, the need to bridge a navigable river
                        and canal, proximity to an ASSI and an ancient
                        woodland, and a range of listed buildings and
                        ancient monuments. I also have to correct a
                        rather embarrassing mistake I made a year ago,
                        but since I sometimes point out errors made by
                        DFI I feel it's only fair to hold my hands up
                        when I do the same. In my June 2017 update below
                        I said that route 4B "coincides with the location
                          of the separate Narrow
                            Water Bridge proposal". I
                        don't know why I wrote that, because it is
                        nonsense! It's actually about 1km upstream of
                        the proposed site of Narrow Water Bridge. So
                        while the point still stands (ie, that option 4B
                        could negate the need for Narrow Water Bridge) I
                        was wrong to say that they were at the same
                        location. So sorry about that! I'll try to up my
                        game. 
                       
                      5 Nov 2017: Design work seems to be
                        continuing on this scheme, which had strong
                        backing from the former Infrastructure Minister
                        Chris Hazzard prior to the collapse of the
                        Executive earlier this year. The Scheme 1
                        assessmeny report was published in June and
                        there is now to be a
                          public consultation at the Sean Hollywood
                        Arts Centre, 1A Bank Parade, Newry, between
                        10.00 am and 9.00 pm on the 14 and 15 November
                        2017. This is likely to be a consultation on the
                        three route options published in June, rather
                        than telling us anything new. It is, however, an
                        opportunity for the public to have their say and
                        give feedback. The scheme has also recently been
                        given €1.35million (£1.2million) in European
                        Union funding through the Connecting Europe
                        Facility for ongoing design work. This Achilles
                        heel of this scheme has always been its huge
                        cost, but during planning the cost estimates
                        have actually fallen (rare for road schemes in
                        Northern Ireland) from £100-211m in 2009 to
                        £78-128m in 2017. This is likely to be because
                        the original routes went over extremely
                        challenging ground, whereas more recent work has
                        identified better options. At the minute Route 5
                        (purple on the map above) is the clear favourite
                        as it's both the cheapest and the most cost
                        effective. However, the presence nearby of the
                        proposed Narrow Water Bridge complicates things
                        as there is still the option of marrying the two
                        together, which could be accomplished under
                        Route 4B. So the question becomes - would
                        combining the two schemes give you a result
                        where (a) both schemes end up compromising their
                        objectives, or (b) the two schemes benefit each
                        other and everyone is a winner. That question
                        can only be settled by detailed analysis of
                        potential journeys so is currently open. 
                       
                      25 Jun 2017: The Stage 1 Scheme
                        Assessment Report, which has been in progress
                        since 2015, was published on 15 June and can be
                        downloaded here.
                        A Stage 1 assessment looks at a proposed road
                        scheme and examines the various routes it could
                        take, and concludes by narrowing it down to two
                        or three route corridors that are to be taken
                        forward for more detailed analysis. So that's
                        what has just happened. You may recall that in
                        2009  four corridors were suggested,
                        known as the "Greenbank", "Low-Medium" and
                        "High-Level" corridors, along with the original
                        2006 corridor. The Stage 1 analysis indicated
                        that the Greenbank corridor and the 2006
                        corridor are both geologically unstable and
                        hence should be rejected. The report recommended
                        three route corridors, known as Route 4A, Route
                        4B and Route 5. Possible lines for the road
                        within these corridors are shown on the Google
                        map further up this page
                        (though note that these are indicative only).
                        Routes 4A and 4B are identical except for the
                        location of the bridge over the Newry River.
                        This is important because the second (certainly
                          deliberately) coincides is close to the
                        location of the separate Narrow
                          Water Bridge proposal, and Route 4B
                        therefore presents an opportunity to "kill two
                        birds with the one stone" by providing Narrow
                        Water Bridge as part of the Newry Southern
                        Relief Road. At the western end, all three
                        routes terminate at the Ellisholding
                          Road junction on the A1. In all cases, the
                        design requires the provision of new
                        south-facing sliproads at this junction, which
                        is currently only accessible to/from the north.
                        The report also gives some predictions of the
                        construction cost and hence benefit/cost ratio
                        of rach route. In the case of the benefit/cost
                        ratio, any value above 1 means the scheme makes
                        economic sense, and the higher the better. The
                        report also looked at things like environemtnal
                        impact ("slight adverse" in all three cases),
                        impact on traffic flow, accessibility of the
                        South Down area and many other things not
                        outlined here.  
                      
                        
                          
                            Route 
                               | 
                            Estimated
                                Cost 
                               | 
                            Benefit/Cost
                                Ratio 
                               | 
                           
                          
                             4A 
                             | 
                            £128m 
                             | 
                            1.491 
                             | 
                           
                          
                             4B 
                             | 
                            £118m 
                             | 
                            1.859 
                             | 
                           
                          
                             5 
                             | 
                            £78m 
                             | 
                            2.211 
                             | 
                           
                        
                       
                      The conclusion is that Route 5 should be
                        preferred because it is considerably cheaper
                        than either Route 4 option, and has a higher
                        benefit-cost benefit. However they also
                        recommend that Routes 4A and 4B be considered at
                        Stage 2. One reason to do this is the Narrow
                        Water Bridge project because if Route 5 were
                        chosen, Narrow Water Bridge may still get
                          built because Narrow Water so far away
                        from the bridge proposed for Route 5 that it
                        wouldn't really benefit the Omeath area, one of
                        the reasons Louth County Council are so keen on
                        it. The cost of Narrow Water is unknown, but say
                        it was £30m, then the true cost of Route 5 +
                        Narrow Water would be £108, making the total
                        cost of the combination fairly similar to Route
                        4B. There would also be a case for asking the
                        Irish government to make a contribution to such
                        a scheme if it meant TransportNI providing
                        Narrow Water Bridge. I would say, therefore,
                        that Routes 4B and 5 are both looking like good
                        options at this point. Work will now begin on a
                        Stage 2 report which will recommend a preferred
                        route.  
                      28 Jan 2017: In a press
                          release issued on 16 January, the outgoing
                        DFI Minister stressed his committment to this
                        scheme. The nearby Narrow
                          Water Bridge scheme is a particularly
                        prominent scheme, and was listed in the 2009
                        "Fresh Start" Agreement, but it has ovbious
                        overlaps with this scheme since both involve
                        bridging the Newry river, albeit at different
                        points. So it seems that the two schemes are
                        being considered as a pair, and could even end
                        up beign combined. For now, however, they are
                        separate schemes. The Minister said he "has
                          instructed officials to take forward planning
                          and development work on the Newry Southern
                          Relief Road to allow the introduction of the
                          Statutory Orders by 2019". Now, the scheme
                        had already been moved to the forward planning
                        shcedule in November 2014, but the target date
                        of 2019 for Statutory Orders is new. The
                        "Statutory Orders" are initially published in
                        draft form and are usually subject to a public
                        inquiry. Once it has passed the Inquiry
                        (assuming it does) and is likely to get funding,
                        the orders are then made properly. It's unclear
                        from the press release which is meant, but
                        realistically it is more likely to be the
                        former. So by that reckoning we could expect a
                        final route to have been announced by 2019 with
                        a public inquiry likely to follow sometime after
                        that. The Achilles Heel of this project is its
                        huge unit cost, which is a consequence of the
                        very difficult terrain. Even the cheapest option
                        is over £100m which is very high for a road that
                        would only be 1.5 miles long. By comparison, the
                        4 mile A31
                          Magherafelt Bypass cost only £45m. The
                        cost/benefit analysis for the Newry Southern
                        Relief Road will thus be quite challenging. The
                        DFI would need to get the cost of the scheme
                        down as low as possible, which would mean a
                        low-level bridge over the Newry river. 
                       
                      3 May 2015: According to the minutes of
                        a TransportNI Board meeting held on 28 November
                        2014, but just
                          published, this scheme has been moved to
                        the Forward Planning Schedule (and indeed it
                        duly appears in the
                          FPS list). The significance of this change
                        is that schemes in the FPS are being actively
                        planned, whereas before now the scheme was
                        merely a suggestion, the only work being a
                        feasibility study completed in 2009. Now that it
                        is in the FPS it means that the planners will
                        look at it in more detail. This does not in
                        itself guarantee that it will be built, but it
                        does mean that it has entered a more formal
                        phase of planning. So the DRD have now said that
                        a "Stage 1 Preliminary Options Scheme
                        Assessment" has begun. This normally results in
                        a range of options with cost estimates and a
                        cost/benefit analysis of each one. There is no
                        indication of when this might be published, but
                        it could take a couple of years depending on the
                        resources allocated to the task. 
                       
                      23 Nov 2014: Supporters of the nearby Narrow
                          Water Bridge proposal have set up a web
                        site here
                        and their aim appears to be to continue to lobby
                        for the provision of the bridge, whose
                        construction fell through this time last year
                        due to inaccurate cost estimates. The text on
                        the main page implies that they are suggesting
                        that that scheme be combined with the Southern
                        Relief Road. The idea may be that the Southern
                        Relief Road could start on the A1 further south
                        than currently planned, close to the RoI border,
                        and then cross the Newry River at Narrow Water
                        via the proposed Narrow Water Bridge. This would
                        require a short stretch of the road to be
                        located in County Louth, so it would introduce a
                        cross-border element. The expense of this scheme
                        as it currently stands (anywhere from
                        £100m-£211m) means that it is a low priority for
                        the DRD, but this idea of linking it to Narrow
                        Water and using a more southerly approach route
                        is certainly worth looking into since it would
                        require only one bridge to be built to achieve
                        the aims of both proposals. With thanks to Paul
                        Sloan for letting me know about the new web
                        site. 
                         
                      22 April 2012:
                        The Minister was asked about progress on this
                        scheme via three Questions
                          for Written Answer in the Assembly two
                        weeks ago. He said that Roads Service are
                        currently "undertaking
                          further environmental and engineering
                          assessments" and that this work will be
                        completed in mid/late 2012. He added that this
                        would inform the selection of the preferred
                        route, but it sounds as if this could be after
                        the date mentioned. He confirmed that so far
                        Roads Service have spent just under £930,000 on
                        planning for this scheme. However, he also
                        stressed that the scheme has not, and never has
                        been, given a definite go ahead, and that
                        therefore there is no timescale for
                        construction. 
                         
                      26 Sep 2009: The Feasibility
                        Report into the scheme was published in August
                        2009, and 
                          a press release issued five days ago. The
                        report showed significant benefits to proceeding
                        with the scheme and proposed four alternative
                        route corridors. The report however recommended
                        against the route proposed in 2006, for cost and
                        engineering reasons, instead suggesting three
                        alternatives as shown on the map above. The cost
                        estimates vary widely from £100m to £211m
                        depending on the option chosen. On the basis of
                        the report the Regional Development Minister has
                        "asked Roads Service to proceed with further
                          environmental and engineering assessments and
                          to engage in a wider consultation process,
                          considered necessary to identify a preferred
                          corridor for the Newry Southern Relief Road."
                        There are still no firm plans to proceed with
                        the scheme which, if it does happen, is unlikely
                        to happen in the near future and perhaps not for
                        ten years. It is also interesting to note that
                        the feasibility report comments that
                        constructing this scheme, at least if the
                        Low-Medium Level Corridor is chosen, could
                        render the proposed Narrow
                          Water Bridge project redundant. 
                      23
                          May 2009: According to the Minister
                        of Regional Development (during a question
                          and answer session in Stormont a couple of
                        weeks ago) the feasibility study into the Newry
                        Southern Relief Road has now been completed, but
                        Roads Service want to do additional work
                        "developing its findings" before releasing it
                        publicly. He said "The project is important.
                          Roads Service and the consultants it has
                          engaged have undertaken significant assessment
                          work." and "We hope to be in a
                          position to present the report’s findings
                          soon". The first of these comments
                        suggests that the feasibility study was
                        favourable towards the road's construction, but
                        we shall have to wait and see.  
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