| 
                         
                      
                        
                          
                            | 
                               Status 
                             | 
                            Construction scheme
                                (future)  | 
                           
                          
                            | 
                               Where 
                             | 
                            To
                                construct direct free-flowing links
                                between the Westlink and the M2 and the
                                Westlink M3 at the York Street junction
                                in Belfast via a series of underpasses. | 
                           
                          
                            | 
                               Total
                                Length  
                             | 
                            n/a | 
                           
                          
                            | 
                               Dates  
                             | 
                            
                               First proposed as part
                                of the Belfast Urban Motorway in 1967  
                              This incarnation
                                first proposed - July 2006  
                              Consultants appointed
                                -  around Dec 2007  
                              Plan given go-ahead -
                                Apr 2008  
                              Public exhibition
                                held - 1 and 2 Jun 2011  
                              Preferred option
                                announced - 6 Dec 2012 
                              Ground investigations
                                contract began - 21 Jan 2013 
                              Environmental
                                Statement and associated documents
                                published - 28 Jan 2015 
                                Gateway 2 approval given - 14 May 2015 
                               
                              Public inquiry began
                                - 10 November 2015 
                               
                              Tender process
                                commenced - 22 November 2015 
                               
                              Tender process
                                revealed to be "on hold" - October 2016 
                                Construction date unknown (as of Oct
                                2016) (changed from "late 2017" as of
                                  Mar 2016; "early 2018" as of Oct 2014;
                                  changed from "2014-18" as of Nov 2008) 
                                Construction to last three years (as of
                                Jan 2015)  
                                Appointment of contractor "set aside" by
                                courts following legal challenge - Aug
                                2018 
                                DFI lose appeal to successful legal
                                challenge - Sep 2019 
                                Review of scheme announced - 27 July
                                2020; this was completed by Dec 2020 
                                Placemaking and Active Travel Review
                                published - 11 Oct 2022 
                               
                              Construction - scheme
                                paused as of Dec 2023. 
                                Was to have begun Dec 2022, with
                                  completion in Dec 2028 (as of Sep
                                  2021) 
                               
                              No funds for
                                construction in the draft 2022-25
                                Executive budget 
                               
                             | 
                           
                          
                            | 
                               Cost 
                             | 
                            
                               £130m as of Oct 2016 
                               
                              Theoretically
                                qualified for "up to 40%" EU funding
                                (ie, pre-Brexit) 
                                (changed from £125m - £165m
                                  as of Jan 2015; £100m - £135m as of
                                  Dec 2012; £72m - £100m
                                  depending on option chosen as of Jun
                                  2011; "£50m" as of Nov 2007) 
                                 | 
                           
                          
                            | 
                               Photos 
                             | 
                            See below.  | 
                           
                          
                            | 
                               See
                                  Also  
                             | 
                            
                               Official
                                  web site on scheme - TransportNI  
                              General
                                  area map - Google Maps  
                              M2
                                on this site 
                              M3
                                on this site 
                              Westlink on
                                this site 
                              Westlink
                                  upgrade on this site  
                              Belfast
                                  Urban Motorway history - on this
                                site  
                             | 
                           
                        
                       
                      Click
                              here to jump straight down to updates
                            for this scheme. 
                           
                      Now that both the M1/Westlink and M2 upgrades
                        are completed, the last remaining at-grade
                        junction on the Belfast motorway network is the
                        York Street junction where the M2 meets the M3
                        and A12 Westlink. Freeflow links already exist
                        between the M2 and M3, but traffic wishing to go
                        between the M2 and A12 and the M3 and A12 must
                        use the traffic light junction at York Street.
                        The upgrades to these three roads have served to
                        highlight this as the final missing link in the
                        jigsaw with queues regularly stretching beyond
                        Fortwilliam and Grosvenor Road on a typical
                        working day. 
                      These are the three busiest roads in Northern
                        Ireland (although, contrary to popular
                        impression, the Westlink is actually the least
                        busy of the three with the M2 being the
                        busiest). This junction is therefore the busiest
junction
                          in Northern Ireland, catering for
                        around 100,000 vehicles per day, yet it
                        currently relies on a series of traffic signals.
                        This is obviously not a good situation.  
                      The current plan, as of December 2012, is to
                      completely grade separate all movements between
                      the Westlink and M2, and Westlink and M3 (M2 to M3
                      movements are already free flowing). This will be
                      achieved by constructing the four links mainly
                      below ground level. The graphic below shows the
                      proposed arrangement. This graphic is lifted from
                      a DRD leaflet which you can see in full resolution
                      here.
                      A more detailed plan of the proposed layout is
                      available at
                        this link. 
                        There are a few
                      less-obvious points worth highlighting to drivers
                      about this design: 
                      
                        - The short stretch between Clifton Street and
                          York Street will become a weaving section, ie
                          an onslip joins and shortly afterwards leaves
                          again as an offslip. This is similar to the M3
                          Lagan Bridge arrangement, except that the
                          sliproads will be just one lane each. It will
                          be interesting to see how well this performs.
 
                        - There will no longer be access to the local
                          road network at this junction when coming from
                          the M2. People wishing to drive into the city
                          centre from the M2 will have to leave at the
                          existing junction at Duncrue Street instead
                          and drive down Corporation Street. 
 
                        - The link carrying traffic from the M3 to
                          Westlink will by only one lane wide, as
                          opposed to the current two-widening-to-three
                          arrangement. This has to be the case due to
                          the restrictions of the Westlink itself, but
                          will be interesting to see how this works in
                          practice.
 
                        - There will be a significant reduction of
                          traffic on the surface streets.
 
                         
                       
                      Historical Background  
                      When the public inquiry that led
                        to the construction of the Westlink was
                        concluded in the late 1970s, it was decided to
                        construct the Westlink to York Street, and to
                        later build the M3 but that the junction between
                        the two would be at ground level with traffic
                        lights. The adjacent railway viaduct seemed to
                        rule out an easy grade separation, but Roads
                        Service have since changed their view and
                        decided to explore such a scheme. The scheme was
                        therefore officially proposed in the document "Expanding
                          the Strategic Road Improvement Programme"
                        released for consultation in July 2006. This
                        document envisaged an extra £400m for roads in
                        the period to 2015. The plans are very
                        reminiscent of the original 1960s plans for a
                        3-way motorway junction here (see below). 
                       
                      Between 2011 and 2012
                        Roads Service were considering four different
                        options to link the three roads together. Two of
                        these were fully freeflow, and two required
                        traffic lights on one of the links (see table
                        below). The various options each had different,
                        but equally important implications for the local
                        road network, especially access to and from the
                        city centre, to and from the Port of Belfast and
                        in some cases access to and from Clifton Street.
                        The plans and maps were outlined in a leaflet
                        published in June 2011, accessible
                          here. The table below outlines the key
                        points of the four options that were under
                        consideration. In December 2012, Option C was
                        selected. 
                       
                      
                        
                          
                            |   | 
                            Option A  | 
                            Option B  | 
                            Option C  | 
                            Option D  | 
                           
                          
                            | Westlink to M2  | 
                            Freeflow, underpass  | 
                            Freeflow, underpass  | 
                            Freeflow, underpass  | 
                            Freeflow, overbridge  | 
                           
                          
                            | M2 to Westlink  | 
                            Freeflow, underpass,
                              40mph limit likely  | 
                            Freeflow, overbridge,
                              50mph limit likely  | 
                            Freeflow, underpass,
                              40mph limit likely  | 
                            Freeflow, overbridge,
                              50mph limit likely  | 
                           
                          
                            | Westlink to M3  | 
                            Freeflow, underpass  | 
                            Freeflow, underpass  | 
                            Freeflow, underpass  | 
                            Via street level traffic signals  | 
                           
                          
                            | M3 to Westlink  | 
                            Via street level traffic signals | 
                            Freeflow, under York
                              Street  | 
                            Freeflow, under York
                              Street  | 
                            Freeflow, over York
                              Street  | 
                           
                          
                            | Effect on Clifton
                              Street junction  | 
                            As existing  | 
                            As existing  | 
                            As existing  | 
                            M2-bound onslip closed. Other three as
                              existing.  | 
                           
                          
                            | Access from Belfast
                              Port to Westlink  | 
                            Via Corporation Street  | 
                            Via Duncrue Street  | 
                            Via Corporation Street  | 
                            Via Duncrue Street  | 
                           
                          
                            | Other notes  | 
                              | 
                            Overbridge ca. 18 metres above ground
                              level.  | 
                              | 
                            Overbridge ca. 18 metres above ground
                              level. | 
                           
                          
                            | Estimated cost | 
                            £72m | 
                            £100m | 
                            £98m | 
                            £95m | 
                           
                        
                       
                      Progress 
                      22 Sep 2025: Unofficial word is that DFI
                        have moved towards a design for the road that is
                        more in line with what critics were proposing
                        ten years ago, namely to put most of the
                        junction below ground level and cover it over.
                        This will release surface land for various forms
                        of public realm development, and also including
                        some housing. The consultants working on the
                        scheme believe that the plans may go public
                        within the next year or so, though it's worth
                        noting again that it's not an Executive flagship
                        proiect and does not currently have any funding
                        allocation. The only way this might change would
                        be if the delays to the A5 project released some
                        cash – though of course there's no guarantee
                        that any cash released would go back to DFI as
                        it was allocated by the Executive. In any case,
                        it's an interesting development in the design
                        and it will be good to see how it is received. 
                       
                      13 Nov 2024: In the previous update DFI
                        Roads indicated that the work to analyse the
                        recommendations in the independent Placemaking
                        and Active Travel Review that was published in
                        October 2022 would be completed in "early 2024".
                        Since then we heard nothing, but Minister O'Dowd
                        was asked about it in the Assembly
                        in late October. He said "I met officials on
                          9 October 2024 to review the report, which
                          allows me to consider the way forward for the
                          scheme. Any subsequent decision to proceed
                          with the York Street interchange project can
                          only be made when I am confident that there is
                          budget certainty for the scheme and that its
                          delivery is in line with my Department's
                          emerging transport plans." It does feel
                        like work on the scheme is not considered a
                        priority by the Minister, but in fairness to him
                        the scheme has no funding, and has little
                        prospect of getting funding in the near future.
                        In addition, it is true that DFI is currently
                        working on a new transport strategy for the
                        Belfast area and the future of this scheme will
                        be decided by that report. So I don't expect to
                        see anything much happen on this scheme until at
                        least the publication of the Belfast area
                        transport plan, whose date we don't currently
                        know. 
                       
                      1 Dec 2023: In their latest
                          report to Belfast City Council, DFI Roads
                        have given an update on where we are with the
                        scheme, especially the consideration of the
                        recommendations in the independent Placemaking
                        and Active Travel Review that was published in
                        October 2022. DFI say that this work is ongoing,
                        and it appears to be considering how the
                        recommendations would impact the design and how
                        it could be built. This work is due to be
                        completed in "early 2024", ie quite soon. After
                        that work on the scheme will then be
                        paused, despite it not being formally paused in
                        DFI's August announcement
                        into scheme prioritisation since it has no
                        funding and is not an Executive "Flagship"
                        project. So, barring a reversal of this decision
                        by any future Executive, we can now consider
                        this scheme to be parked for the foreseeable
                        future. It will be interesting to see if, and in
                        what form, it appears in the forthcoming new
                        strategic transport plan (the RSTNTP) which is
                        due to be published in the next year or so. 
                       
                      1 Nov 2023: In August DFI Roads released
                        a document showing how the current roads
                        programme will be prioritised in the current
                        economic and legislative climate. This scheme
                        ended up not being formally "paused", despite
                        not being an Executive Flagship project, not
                        being funded through the New Deal agreement or
                        the Belfast City Deal, and having no other
                        source of funding. So essentially the project is
                        not going to happen any time soon and indeed may
                        not happen at all (its best opportunity was lost
                        in 2016-18 due to a botched procurement
                        process). While DFI are continuing to carry out
                        tweaks to the design of the scheme to take
                        account of the Placemaking and Active Travel
                        Review that was published this time last year,
                        the much more important question about the
                        future of the scheme is the strategic direction
                        of DFI. DFI are now working on a new strategic
                        transport plan (the RSTNTP) which will be
                        published in the next year or so. This plan will
                        itself be informed by the new 2022 legislation
                        that requires DFI to de-carbonise transport,
                        which presents a significant challenge to major
                        roadbuilding. So whether the scheme happens now
                        will hinge on whether it is compatible with the
                        emerging transport policies that come out of
                        this process. I am not going to speculate on
                        this – I think it could easily go either way for
                        this scheme. So not much more can be said about
                        this scheme until the RSTNTP is published. 
                      14 Oct 2022: The DFI Minister has
                        finally released the Placemaking and Active
                        Travel Review alluded to in the last update in
                        August. Although the report is dated autumn
                        2022, the contents is clearly the three
                        "enhancement options" that were identified back
                        in 2021. You can download the report from here
                        - go down and look for "PAR" documents at the
                        bottom of the list on the right. Before
                        describing what is proposed, it is important to
                        clarify that this document is NOT a set of
                        proposals from DFI Roads, nor is it something
                        that DFI is proposing to build. Rather, it is a
                        report by independent consultants as to what
                        COULD be done to improve foot/cycle facilities
                        and the local streetscape in tandem with the
                        scheme. Whether any of these recommendations are
                        taken forward is ultimately up to the DFI
                        Minister. 
                       
                      The report notes that the current design (which
                        dates from 2015) is very poor in terms of local
                        streetscape, mainly because that was not in the
                        remit of the designers of the scheme. It also
                        notes that severance is severe and
                        pedestrian/cycle facilities are not good. It
                        recommends three options for improving this
                        problem while still broadly maintaining
                        the aims and the design of the scheme as
                        proposed. Each option is an enhancement of the
                        previous one. The names of the options were
                        derived from a much longer list, hence why they
                        are 3, 3A and 4. The costs are fairly vague in
                        the document, probably because they have not had
                        a detailed analysis, but from looking at them
                        the most ambitious option would certainly add at
                        least £10-20m to the bill. 
                      
                        - Option 3 keeps the design as
                          proposed, but adds a new pedestrian/cycle way
                          through the centre of the junction, improved
                          environments under Dock Street and North Queen
                          Street bridges, and the addition of segregated
                          cycle lanes on various nearby streets such as
                          North Queen Street, Corporation Street and
                          York Street. The diagram below is from the
                          document and summaries option 3.
 
                       
                        
                       
                      
                        - Option 3A is as per option 3 but
                          modifies the design of the M2->Westlink
                          sliproad to make it tighter, and hence take up
                          less land adjacent to Corporation Street. The
                          appearance of the sliproad in the
                          visualisation below looks a little horrific
                          from a design point of view, but I suspect
                          it's meant to be indicative only. Such an
                          adjustment couid be done, but it would require
                          with a reduced speed limit due to the tighter
                          corner, which would then be of similar radius
                          to the Westlink->M3 movement. With this
                          alteration the land freed up would be returned
                          to community use. The design also features a
                          partial deck over part of the junction
                          adjacent to York Street which would be laid
                          out as a small park. The diagram below
                          summarises option 3A.
 
                       
                       
                        
                          
                            - Option 4 is as per option 3A
                              except that the deck is expanded to cover
                              a much larger part of the centre of the
                              junction, with a larger park on it. It
                              also features a similar deck over part of
                              Westlink at Clifton Street. This option is
                              much broader in its geographic scope,
                              taking in proposals on Dunbar Link and
                              including two new new footbridges over the
                              Lagan. This option is shown below, and
                              there is an artists' impression after
                              that.
 
                           
                          
                           
                             
                              Overall, all of these proposals sound very
                              good. However, they do go well beyond the
                              scope of the York Street Interchange
                              project so woudl certainly require
                              involvement of additional bodies such as
                              Belfast City Council. It's not clear how
                              the additional aspects would be funded
                              since some aspects, such as cycle
                              provision, is clearly within DFI's remit,
                              but elements like parks are not. What
                              happens next will really hinge on the
                              opinions of the DFI Minister as it would
                              need someone high up to drive the works. 
                             
                           
                         
                       
                      24 Aug 2022: A brief addition to
                        the previous update to note this Written
                          Answer by the DFI Minister about six weeks
                        ago. In this he added that the work on
                        refinement of the shortlisted options as
                        recommended within the Placemaking and Active
                        Travel Review report will be completed "at
                          the end of the year" (we assume
                        calendar year, 2022). The previous Minister
                        never published the Review report that was
                        completed in 2021 - a document that is
                        definitely in the public interest - I sincerely
                        hope the new DFI minister publishes this latest
                        work once it is done. The Minister also took
                        time to note, in a recent
                          press release, that he remains "committed"
                        to the York Street Interchange. 
                       
                      10 Aug 2022: DFI recently published
                        the "first day briefing" that was given to the
                        DFI Minister John O'Dowd when he entered his
                        post in May 2022. It gives slightly more
                        information about the "options to enhance
                          place making and improve active travel
                          provision" which were recommended in the
                        as-yet unpublished report that was completed in
                        March 2021. It comments that the report "advises
                          that additional measures could be implemented
                          in tandem with it, to maximize the benefits
                          for communities. The report recommends that three
                            of the enhancement options are further
                          developed and refined to allow an informed
                          decision to be taken on the way forward."
                        This sounds as if the review is not a
                        fundamental revisiting of the scheme, but rather
                        focuses alternations to the design to better
                        accommodate active travel and perhaps also to
                        improve its appearance and how it ties into the
                        local area. The report also comments that the
                        current cost estimate (last given as £130m in
                        2016) is being revised to take account of the
                        changes to the design and also the significant
                        construction inflation that has been seen in the
                        past few years. 
                       
                      8 Jul 2022: The trail of inaction on
                        this scheme continues. The (new) DFI Minister
                        was asked about this scheme in a recent Written
                          Answer where he essentially reiterated the
                        position that his predecessor reported six
                        months ago. He again commented that "The
                          report [completed in Dec 2021] identified a
                          number of options to enhance place making and
                          improve active travel provision. Work is
                          ongoing to refine the shortlisted options and
                          consider factors relating to their potential
                          implementation." It does not sound to me
                        as if a lot of resources are being put into this
                        work at this time. This is perhaps
                        understandable since it currently has no funding
                        allocation for construction, at least until the
                        end of the draft budget in 2025, so there is
                        zero chance of it going back out to tender in
                        the near future. The Minister recently confirmed
                        that, to date, £22.3m has been spent on the
                        project. 
                       
                      16 Jan 2022: Last month the DFI Minister
                        was asked about the future of this scheme in an
                        oral
                          question time in the Assembly. Firstly,
                        she had previously said that further work was
                        being prepared by DFI in response to the "short,
                        sharp external review" that was completed in
                        March 2021. She said "work is ongoing to
                          maximise ambition on what can be delivered for
                          communities, connectivity and the wider Living
                          Places agenda. I expect to receive the report
                          this month. That will allow me to quickly
                          identify next steps". She should therefore
                        have received the report by now. It is now clear
                        what, if anything, will or can happen in the
                        next few months as Nichola Mallon is unlikely to
                        be the DFI Minister after the Assembly election
                        that is due in May. She did, however, make a
                        remarkable set of observations in the same
                        debate. She said "I recognise the strategic
                          importance of the scheme, but I want to make
                          sure that it is the right scheme, as I said,
                          for those who use it and for the communities
                          who live around it. They have been completely
                          separated. I would argue that the Westlink in
                          its current format has caused harm and
                          detriment to the communities who live around
                          it". The rationale for the scheme has
                        indeed been largely separated from the needs of
                        the community through the planning process to
                        date, by virtue of the fact that DFI's remit is
                        very narrow, limited to transport, so other
                        considerations are beyond what it has authority
                        over. This has indeed been a failing of the
                        demarcation of Stormont departments for some
                        years, but it is the first time I have ever
                        heard an infrastructure minister actually point
                        this out, and indeed speak in such negative
                        terms about one of the city's most vital road
                        links. With no significant funding allocated in
                        the most recent Stormont budget, I would not
                        expect to see much movement on this project in
                        the next year. 
                       
                      18 Oct 2021: Seven months ago the DFI
                        Minister announced the outcome of a "short,
                        sharp external review" into the scheme and
                        committed to further work on the matter. Nothing
                        has since been released, and this is getting
                        increasingly frustrating as it is clearly in the
                        public interest to know what is being
                        recommended and said behind the scenes. Two
                        weeks ago Belfast City Council passed
                          a motion calling on the Minister to let
                        them have immediate sight of the outcome of the
                        Independent Assurance Review of the York Street
                        Interchange. The rationale for this move,
                        according to the motion, is as follows: "This
                          Council notes that it is currently corporately
                          committed to supporting the York Street
                          Interchange project. This decision was made
                          before this Council declared a climate
                          emergency; before the NI Assembly declared a
                          climate emergency and before the most recent
                          Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s
                          Report published in August 2021, which was a
                          ‘Code Red’ warning for humanity. Belfast City
                          Council is a key stakeholder in the York
                          Street Interchange Project and sits on the
                          Strategic Advisory Group for the York Street
                          Interchange. [Releasing the information] will
                          allow us to make an informed decision on
                          whether we as a Council continue with our
                          corporate support for this project." The
                        official position remains that Belfast City
                        Council is supportive of the scheme. If the
                        council were to withdraw its support it would be
                        reminiscent of the decision by the same council
                        to withdraw its support for the Belfast Urban
                        Motorway in 1973, being one of the reasons
                        the scheme was eventually scrapped. 
                       
                      25 Jul 2021: DFI's most
                          recent report to Belfast City Council
                        provides an update on this scheme. It doesn't
                        really say much more, but does elaborate on what
                        the consultants are currently doing. It is worth
                        quoting at length: "further work is being
                          carried out, particularly around place making
                          and to maximise ambition in terms of what can
                          be delivered for communities, connectivity and
                          the wider living places agenda. It is proposed
                          that this work will also take into account the
                          further development of Bolder Belfast .The
                          Strategic Advisory Group for the scheme will
                          also be reconvened and the communications
                          strategy updated to ensure local communities
                          and other stakeholders are kept informed of
                          future developments." "Bolder Belfast"
                        refers to a document published in 2020 by
                        Belfast City Council which envisions a city
                        centre more focused around pedestrians, cycling
                        public transport and a focus on removing
                        barriers. The group is due to report back to the
                        DFI Minister in the autumn of 2021. For what it
                        is worth, my gut feeling is that the legal
                        challenge that DFI lost in 2018 has killed York
                        Street Interchange in the form envisaged, but
                        that a new design will be developed that softens
                        the severance effect of the scheme while still
                        providing the key benefits of removing through
                        traffic from surface streets. 
                       
                      4 Apr 2021: On 26 March the DFI Minister
                        announced the outcome
                        of her "short, sharp external review" of
                        the project, which she initiated in July 2020.
                        The "independent panel" made six recommendations
                        as follows. My comments are in italics. 
                       
                      
                        - The YSI project brief should be reviewed and
                          revised to ensure it aligns with the concept
                          of “place making” and new best practice in
                          terms of urban transport design, and with the
                          Minister’s agenda. [This I interpret to
                            mean that the scheme should be seen as more
                            than just a transport scheme, and so also
                            take into account the scheme's sensitive
                            location and other needs people have.]
 
                         
                        - The wider area impact and benefits of the
                          Project should be evaluated using appropriate
                          quantitative and qualitative assessment
                          mechanisms. [This I think means that more
                            work should be done to assess both the
                            benefits and the problems that the scheme
                            would bring to allow a fuller understanding
                            of the winners and losers. This is similar
                            to recommendations made recently by the
                            Inquiry Inspector on the A5 scheme and does
                            reflect current thinking.]
 
                         
                        - The current Project costs should be updated
                          to act as a benchmark to inform any decision
                          on future alternative development. [Scheme
                            costs were last published five years ago, so
                            it makes sense to update them.]
 
                         
                        - There needs to be a system of ongoing
                          communications with all interested parties.
                          This should include updating the 2017
                          Communications Strategy and employing a robust
                          Communications Structure now as well as during
                          any construction phase.  Communications
                          should be ongoing and not just point in time.
                          [Talk more to the public!]
 
                         
                        - There needs be much closer co-ordination
                          both within the DfI and between DfI and other
                          relevant departments and interested parties at
                          both policy and delivery levels with regard to
                          YSI development and delivery. [The Northern
                            Ireland government suffers from different
                            departments having very specific briefs and
                            their Ministers often coming from different
                            political parties. DFI's role is
                            specifically transport, so other areas such
                            as "place making" are often outside their
                            remit. This recommendation is to try to do
                            better in this regard. This will be
                            difficult in practice for the reasons stated
                            as it needs agreement at Executive level.]
 
                         
                        - There needs to be a co-ordinated decision
                          made in the context of emerging policies,
                          which then needs to be applied to ensure that
                          the YSI project aligns to this context. [It
                            is not clear what this means - perhaps that
                            York Street Interchange needs to be
                            compatible with the new transport plans
                            being developed, or with new policies
                            towards sustainable transport].
 
                         
                       
                      The Minister has accepted all six
                        recommendations, and has instructed the scheme's
                        consultants to "carry out further work
                          particularly around place making and to
                          maximise ambition in terms of what can be
                          delivered for communities, connectivity and
                          the wider living places agenda". She has
                        asked for this work to be completed by autumn
                        2021. She did not take the opportunity to
                        re-state her support for the scheme (though she
                        did do so not long ago, in July 2020) and is
                        still talking in terms of all this work taking
                        place "before I make a decision on the next
                          steps for the scheme". My feeling is that
                        the process is likely to result in relatively
                        minor tweaks to the design to make the road
                        links less intrusive, to plan for a better
                        resultant screetscape that is less of a barrier
                        to pedestrians and cyclists, but still
                        maintaining the underlying principle of taking
                        strategic through-traffic off the surface
                        streets and onto dedicated links. It could well
                        result in a win-win situation if done well.
                        However the whole process, which has been
                        underway now for 15 years, will drag out for
                        several more years. 
                       
                      22 Jan 2021: The new DFI Minister
                        announced a "short, sharp external review"
                        of the project in July 2020. According to a
                        briefing given to the Infrastructure Committee
                        in Stormont on 9 December 2020, "this
                          [review] has been completed and the
                          Minister is considering its findings before
                          deciding on next steps". Budget-wise the
                        scheme is officially listed as a "pre-committed"
                        scheme and is included with the qualifier "New
                        Decade New Approach". NDNA did not specify
                        particular schemes for money to go towards, but
                        this shows that DFI clearly regard this as one
                        of the candidates of the additional investment
                        envisaged by NDNA. The scheme had been due to go
                        back out to tender in June 2020, but that did
                        not happen due to the Minister's intervention.
                        On the Investment
                          Strategy for NI web site the scheme is
                        currently listed as going out to tender in "June
                        2021" and has construction due to begin by
                        December 2023 and to last four years. These
                        timescales are surely indicative, anyway, as the
                        Minister has not yet made clear her intentions
                        for the scheme. 
                       
                      The Department of Finance issued its draft
                          annual budget on 18 January which includes
                        £693.2m of capital funding. The budget does not
                        set out any more detail but, to put this in
                        perspective, over the next year DFI needs £72.7m
                        in order to progress the projects already under
                        construction and an additional £441.3m to cover
                        "inescapable" costs such as NI Water and
                        Translink. This would still leave £179.2m of
                        additional funding for other
                        pre-committed/desirable schemes. DFI wanted a
                        relatively modest £4.6m this year in order to
                        continue work on York Street Interchange, and
                        the draft budget suggests this will be possible.
                        So really now we are just awaiting the
                        Minister's decision on whether she is content
                        for the scheme to progress, or whether she wants
                        to re-visit the objectives and/or design. It is
                        again worth noting that York Street Interchange
                        is not a "flagship" scheme, and
                        therefore does not have a ring-fenced budget.
                        
                       
                      
                         Draft Budget 2021-
                      
                      27 July 2020: In my update below on 25
                        May 2020 I expressed the view that this scheme
                        was at risk due to shifts in public opinion,
                        lack of money, changing travel patterns and
                        recent court judgements. This was borne out
                        today when the DFI Minister announced
                        what she calls a "short, sharp external
                          review" of the project. The terms of
                        reference for the review are to "focus on the
                          scheme’s ability to deliver the following and
                          consider any other issues highlighted": 
                       
                      
                        - The Minister’s priorities around focus on
                          well-being, sustainable travel, creating
                          thriving liveable places and communities,
                          responding to the climate emergency and
                          connecting people and opportunities;
 
                        - The Executive’s priorities set out in New
                          Decade: New Approach and the Outcomes Delivery
                          Plan, and ;
 
                        - The scheme’s strategic fit alongside the
                          emerging policy context, for example, the
                          Belfast Agenda, the Belfast City Council
                          Development Plan Strategy and the emerging
                          Transport Plans.
 
                       
                      Although not explicitly mentioned, I think DFI
                        must be aware that the scheme is at great risk
                        from a legal challenge on sustainability grounds
                        following the successful legal challenge to the
                        Heathrow third runway, where judges ruled that
                        schemes must take into account the government's
                        stated aim of reducing carbon emissions. So they
                        may have concluded that some kind of review is
                        preferable to a time-consuming legal challenge.
                        In addition, time is passing (even the public
                        inquiry was almost 5 years ago) and the more
                        time goes on the more out of date the planning
                        risks being. Thirdly, there has been a lot of
                        opposition to the current design (and it is
                        organised opposition) in the north Belfast area
                        and a feeling that the scheme could give greater
                        weight to the need to reduce the severance
                        effect on north Belfast and to free up more
                        opportunities around the junction for
                        development than the current design permits. In
                        my view, these are all good reasons to have a
                        review and I think there is potential here to
                        bring about a better outcome. The Minister's
                        used of the phrase "short sharp review" is
                        clearly intended to counter fears that this is
                        another delay - but clearly if the design
                        changes in a significant way then it would
                        likely require a new public inquiry and a new
                        procurement process, all of which could add a
                        couple of years to the project timescale. 
                       
                      It is worth noting that the Minister has also
                        stressed her commitment to proceeding with the
                        scheme. She said "I recognise the strategic
                          importance of the York Street
                          Interchange.  Its inclusion in the New
                          Decade New Approach Agreement is a further
                          indication of the significance of the project
                          to our economic and societal wellbeing and I
                          am determined to see it delivered". At the
                        same time, the Executive has not given it any
                        funding for construction so at this stage it
                        remains an aspiration. 
                       
                      12 Jun 2020: The DFI Minister announced
                        her budget
                        for the next year, which allocated money to the
                        Executive's flagship projects (A5, A6 and
                        Belfast Transport Hub) but did not give any
                        funding for any other capital road schemes,
                        including this one. She followed this up today
                        with a press
                          release clarifying that she had approved
                        funding for the continuation of planning of
                        several planned road schemes, and went on to
                        give seven examples ("such as") of schemes, four
                        of which were bypasses. The glaring omission
                        from the list was York Street Interchange. I
                        would read this press release as an indication
                        of what the new Minister's priorities are, and
                        they seem to be regional schemes across the
                        province. It appears that she does not regard
                        York Street Interchange as a priority. So, on
                        this basis, I would not expect to see work
                        commencing on this scheme in the near future. 
                       
                      25 May 2020: In the last update six
                        months ago (see below) I said that the tender
                        process would begin again in June 2020. This
                        timeline appears to be correct, as at least one
                        of the bidding contractors was told last month
                        to prepare for re-pricing their bid. However
                        nothing whatsoever has appeared on the DFI's own
                        procurement
                        web page. It could be that DFI are not going
                        back to square one, but rather going back only
                        to the shortlisted tenderers from last time,
                        which could be regarded as a continuation of the
                        previous tender process. If that's the case then
                        a contractor could be appointed either towards
                        the end of 2020, or early 2021. Flaws in the
                        evaluation process were what triggered the
                        successful legal challenge to the previous
                        tender process in 2018. The ISNI
                          web site (that tracks large NI government
                        contracts) still suggests construction could
                        begin in September 2022 and end in 2026. 
                       
                      Nevertheless, I am coming round to the view
                        that this project may not happen at all. There
                        are a number of reasons for saying this. (1) In
                        the light of the Heathrow Airport court ruling,
                        York Street Interchange is highly susceptible to
                        a legal challenge along similar lines which
                        could, at the very least, delay the project. (2)
                        It is not clear whether the money for the
                        project still exists (it had been funded as part
                        of the now-defunct DUP-Tory pact) and, even if
                        it does, the deep recession that will follow
                        after COVID-19 will throw all major
                        infrastructure spending under the spotlight. (3)
                        Travel patterns are likely to be disrupted by
                        the global pandemic and associated lockdown,
                        meaning that past traffic modelling may prove
                        redundant going forward. This is not to say that
                        the scheme would suddenly become unjustified -
                        merely that, as stewards of public money, it
                        would make sense to look seriously at the
                        question before committing this level of cash.
                        (4) Public opinion, at least in the North
                        Belfast area, seems to be increasingly vocal in
                        their opposition to the project in the form
                        proposed. This is also influenced by the Greta
                        Thunberg phenomenon and recent attention given
                        to the "climate emergency". See this
                          news story, for example. To be clear, I am
                        NOT saying that I am opposed to the project,
                        merely that in my judgement it is looking
                        questionable whether it will happen. It is very
                        reminiscent of the way the Urban
                          Motorway in the early 1970s was killed off
                        by lack of cash and the Oil Crisis. It could be,
                        looking back from the future, that 2018 was York
                        Street Interchange's last chance to be built,
                        one that was lost by DFI's own tender evaluation
                        process. I recently took part in a
                          video chat with Mark Hackett, who has
                        proposed a scaled-back project which would bring
                        some, albeit reduced, benefits for vehicles in
                        order to reduce the scheme's impact. 
                       
                      20 Nov 2019: After last year's
                        successful legal challenge to the tender process
                        for this scheme, we had been wondering whether
                        the tender process would have to be re-run. DFI
                        have now revealed that the answer is "yes". The
                        ISNI
                          web site (that tracks large NI government
                        contracts) has been updated to indicate that the
                        tender process will begin again in June 2020
                        (seven years after the first time it went out to
                        tender!), with a contractor to be appointed by
                        June 2021. Interestingly, it then gives an
                        estimated construction start date of September
                        2022, with completion in March 2026. This, of
                        course, assumes there is funding. There are some
                        knowns and some important unknowns in this
                        regard. Here is what we know: (1) The scheme was
                        NOT included in the Executive's Programme for
                        Government. Therefore, it had not been allocated
                        any funding at the point that the Executive
                        collapsed. The Civil Service has, to date,
                        continued to  follow the PfG and seems
                        reluctant to stray from it. (2) Although the
                        scheme qualified in theory for some EU money,
                        the outgoing DFI Minister did not apply for this
                        because (he said) the next EU funding round
                        would take it beyond the date of Brexit. (3) As
                        part of the DUP-Tory pact of June 2017, the DUP
                        negotiated funding for the scheme. (4) The
                        scheme has not gone ahead during the lifetime of
                        the pact due to the successful legal challenge.
                        This suggests that, if the pact is not renewed
                        after the election, the funding may well be lost
                        and without an Executive there may be nobody
                        prepared to bring it forward and give it funding
                        from another source. (5) However an unknown
                        is where the money that was to have been spent
                        on YSI is now. Has it already been passed over,
                        and is sitting somewhere, still accessible? Is
                        it still in London, and potentially lost? The
                        answer to that question is very relevant and
                        unknown. (6) Finally, it's worth noting that the
                        date of 2022 is beyond the completion of two of
                        the main projects in the Programme for
                        Government, namely both A6 dualling schemes, and
                        part way through the first two phases of the A5
                        dualling scheme. The former Executive has left
                        no guidelines as to what could come next at that
                        point. It could be that DFI believe that the
                        scheme should come next in the queue. Whether
                        this happens will depend on who is making the
                        decisions in 2022. With thanks to Jonathan Craig
                        for alerting me to the tender notice on the ISNI
                        web site. 
                       
                      11 Sep 2019: As a reminder, DFI
                        appointed a contractor for this scheme early in
                        2017, which was immediately challenged in court
                        by one of the losing contractors (BAM/McCann).
                        That legal challenge was successful, and the
                        court "set aside" the contractor appointment in
                        August 2018. DFI appealed this decision, and the
                        court last week finally gave their judgement to
                        the appeal - and it was a loss for DFI.
                        The Lord Justice said "It may well seem
                          regrettable that a much needed and very
                          important piece of road improvement has been
                          delayed because the panel evaluating the two
                          tenders made two quite narrow errors in their
                          assessment. However, those two narrow
                          errors, it is agreed, were enough to alter the
                          award of the contract between the plaintiffs
                          and the previously successful tenderer."
                        So the conclusion is that the procurement
                        process was not carried out correctly by DFI
                        with the result that, had it been carried out
                        without the two errors mentioned, BAM/McCann
                        would have won the cotnract, and were therefore
                        justified in launching legal action. It means
                        DFI will either have to re-run the tendering
                        process, or else enter into some kind of
                        compensation arrangement, both which will be
                        costly. However, the delay caused by the
                        legal challenge does, in my view, seriously
                        jeopardise the viability of this scheme. The
                        scheme did NOT receive any funding from the
                        outgoing Northern Ireland Executive, was not a
                        flasgship project and was therefore not to have
                        gone ahead in the near future. That changed with
                        the 2017 DUP-Tory pact promised funding for the
                        scheme, but with the future of the UK government
                        and that pact looking very shakey indeed, it
                        seems very likely that this funding will be gone
                        by the time procurement is completed. With no
                        Executive to allocate funding to the scheme,
                        little can be done about this. As a result, this
                        scheme may now not happen at all, or if it does,
                        it may not be for many years. It is not DFI's
                        finest hour. 
                         
                      23 Jul 2019: It has been a year, now,
                        since the appointment of the contractor was "set
                        aside" by the court following a successful legal
                        challenge by BAM/McCann. In December (see
                        previous update) it emerged that DFI had decided
                        to launch an appeal to the ruling, but we have
                        not heard anything since then. However, the recently-published
                        report to Lisburn & Castlereagh Council
                        confirms that "an appeal has now been heard
                          and the judgement is awaited". No time
                        table is given for when the ruling might be
                        expected. The funding for this project is from
                        the DUP-Tory pact which does, perhaps against
                        the odds, continue to persist and so the funding
                        is still there should there be a favourable
                        ruling, though it could disappear at any moment.
                        If DFI lose the appeal then it seems likely that
                        the procurement process would have to be re-run,
                        which would add many months to the project. The
                        Report also says "Following a Ministerial
                          direction, the process of consulting local
                          residents and key stakeholders on issues
                          identified in the Inspector’s Report has now
                          commenced". As there isn't currently a
                        Minister, this is presumably a ministerial
                        direction from over two years ago - the
                        Inspector's Report referred to was published in
                        November 2016. 
                       
                      3 Dec 2018: A court ruling in August
                        found that the DFI had made mistakes during the
                        procurement process and set aside the award of
                        the contract. We had expected the next step to
                        be some kind of remedial work, which would
                        involve either paying compensation to one of the
                        involved parties or re-running the procurement
                        process. However, it emerged last week that DFI
                        have instead opted to launch an appeal to the
                        ruling itself, ie they are challenging the
                        ruling that they made mistakes. This surprises
                        me in that it will add several months to the
                        timescale of the project at a time when the
                        funding for the project is hanging by a thread.
                        However, it is true that re-running the
                        procurement process would also add several
                        months to the timescale. They would not be
                        appealing if they had not been given advice that
                        they had a reasonable chance of success, so this
                        will be an interesting one to watch in the
                        coming months. Whatever happens, I would not
                        expect to see any work happening on the scheme
                        in the short term. 
                       
                      15 Nov 2018: This scheme is hanging by a
                        thread. As we know, the scheme has funding via
                        the DUP-Tory pact in Westminster. The events in
                        London today have seen the DUP say that they
                        will vote against the government's Brexit deal
                        with the EU. Since supporting this legislation
                        is part of the DUP-Tory pact, were they to do so
                        it would mean the end of the pact. Some funding
                        for York Street Interchange was included in the
                        most recent budget, but I suspect it may not be
                        enough to complete the priject. If the pact does
                        collapse, then the remainding (future) funding
                        for York Street Interchange disappears too. So
                        that means that this scheme might well be about
                        to die for the foreseeable future. This could
                        render the recent legal challenge, and concerns
                        about having to re-run some or all of the
                        tendering process, irrelevant. 
                       
                      11 Nov 2018: In August the DFI lost a
                        court case brought by BAM/McCann, who did not
                        win the tender, and alleged that the procurement
                        process was flawed. The scheme did have funding
                        (via the DUP-Tory pact) and was shovel-ready, so
                        this court case meant that the road could not
                        progress during 2018 as had been planned. A further
                          legal hearing was held in October to
                        determine what should happen by way of remedy.
                        In this hearing, BAM/McCann argued that the
                        court should declare that it would be "lawful"
                        to award the contract to them instead, but the
                        judge declined to do this, stating that it was
                        sufficient that the court had "set aside" the
                        award to the winning contractor. This does open
                        up the real possibility that the tender process
                        may have to be re-run, which could potentially
                        add 6-9 months on to the project timescale. That
                        is a big risk, because the DUP-Tory pact - upon
                        which this scheme is entirely relient for its
                        funding - runs out in June 2019 (and may
                        collapse before then). If that happens, the
                        scheme may eventually return to a shovel-ready
                        state, but no longer have any funding. New
                        funding is unlikely to appear without a return
                        to Stormont power sharing. The upshot of all
                        this is that in a worst-case scenario the
                        mistakes that were made in the tender process,
                        and the consequent legal challenge, may have
                        killed this scheme entirely. 
                       
                      12 Aug 2018: The ruling in the
                        long-running (16 month) legal challenge to the
                        contract award for this project finally
                          came last week. The case was brought by
                        BAM/McCann who did not win the tender. The judge
                        ruled that mistakes had been made by DFI during
                        the procurement process and in particular that
                        it was a mistake for the DFI tender evaluation
                        panel to conclude that BAM/McCann had not
                        properly understood the project. The DFI panel
                        also said that BAM/McCann had not provided
                        enough detail about phasing of work but the
                        judge said that the DFI panel had not been
                        transparent enough about the amount of detail it
                        was expecting. What happens next will be decided
                        at a hearing in September. However, it is likely
                        to result in either (a) the tender process being
                        re-run, with compensation due to the current
                        winning contractor or (b) the tender award
                        remaining as it is, with compensation due to
                        BAM/McCann. The first option could add a further
                        6 to 9 months to the timescale of the project,
                        while the second would be quicker. Either way,
                        the public purse is going to lose out with
                        compensation seemingly due to somebody no matter
                        what the outcome. 
                       The big risk for the project is that the
                        scheme had no funding allocation until the
                        DUP-Tory confidence-and-supply pact of June 2017
                        which promised £2bn funding for Northern Ireland
                        over two years, including funding for this
                        project. The two years runs out in June 2019 -
                        indeed, the pact could end at any moment. Once
                        the pact ends it is likely that any unspent
                        funding from the £2bn will disappear too.
                        Therefore, if work on York Street Interchange
                        has not commenced by June 2019, or before the
                        pact ends, the project may not happen at all.
                        The hearing in September should help to answer
                        this question of timescales. Finally, I don’t
                        think that the lack of a Minister is likely to
                        be an issue - the project has ministerial
                        approval and has not changed since then.
                        Awarding a tender for a project that already has
                        ministerial approval does not require further
                        ministerial approval. 
                       
                      21 Jul 2018: A statement
                        by the UK government on 28 June contained a
                        reference to this scheme, which was to be funded
                        by cash from the DUP-Tory pact of June 2017. The
                        money has yet to appear a year on, but this
                        statement said "We will ensure that our
                          commitments on major infrastructure spending,
                          including the York Street Interchange road
                          project and the broadband investment
                          programme, agreed alongside of the Confidence
                          and Supply Agreement with the Democratic
                          Unionist Party, are able to be taken forward
                          so that the people of Northern Ireland benefit
                          from the increased investment agreed in June
                          2017". This means that really the only
                        obstacle to the scheme is now the ongoing court
                        challenge brought by one of the bidding
                        contractors. The court has STILL not given its
                        ruling on the case even though it's now been
                        four months since the hearing. As the funding
                        would be likely to disappear if the DUP-Tory
                        pact were to collapse, the clock is really
                        ticking on this. There is a real possibility
                        that the scheme could be scuppered entirely as a
                        result of the delay caused by the legal
                        challenge. Let us hope that the outcome is known
                        soon and that the scheme can progress to
                        construction. Even if the outcome was known
                        tomorrow, there are still several months of
                        detailed design and planning to be done, so
                        commencement is now going to be no earlier than
                        2019, the tenth anniversary of the completion of
                        the M1/Westlink upgrade. 
                       
                      22 Mar 2018: The scheme has sat in limbo
                        since a legal challenge to the award of the
                        construction tender was made by BAM and FP
                        McCann over a year ago. There was, at last, a
                          court hearing in Belfast High Court
                        beginning on 5 March but as yet I have not heard
                        any outcome. In any case, it's largely a moot
                        point since the scheme still has no funding
                        allocation, though there is still the possiblity
                        that some of the funding made available via the
                        Tory-DUP pact - and which seems to have been
                        included in the recent Westminster-passed
                        Northern Ireland budget - could be used to fund
                        this scheme. DFI have continued to talk to local
                        residents and stakeholders about the plans. 
                       
                      7 Jan 2018: A legal challenge to the
                        appointment of the contractor was made almost a
                        year ago, and the status of the scheme has sat
                        in limbo ever since. According to this report
                        given to Belfast City Council the legal hearing
                        has been scheduled for Febraury 2018. Meanwhile,
                        "the process of consulting local residents
                          and key stakeholders on issues identified in
                          the Inspector’s Report had since commenced".
                        This refers to the report of the public inquiry
                        which was published in December 2016 and made
                        some recommended tweaks to the design. Finally,
                        the Tory-DUP deal last June which included
                        funding for this scheme is still in place, but
                        as yet none of the funding has actually
                        appeared, so even if the legal challenge is
                        decided there is still no money to build it. 
                       
                      10 Jul 2017: Despite the lack of
                        optimism in my previous update below, a deal
                        between the DUP and Conservative Party resulted
                        in funding
                          actually appearing out of the ether (or
                        more accurately, British taxpayers) in late June
                        to construct York Street Interchange. A
                        tremendous amount of ink has been spilled
                        elsewhere talking about the merits or otherwise
                        of the DUP/Tory pact or the fact that this
                        scheme and no others were explicitly funded, so
                        I am not going to discuss that here. Instead I
                        will proceed forwards from the factual point
                        that the money has now been made available. The
                        scheme has been very close to being shovel-ready
                        now for some time. The process to appoint a
                        contractor is on hold due to a legal challenge
                        which is likely to take until early 2018 to
                        resolve. Nevertheless DFI Roads (the new name
                        for TransportNI) have said since the funding was
                        announced that the earliest start date would be
                        2019. I have not had the reason for this
                        confirmed, but I would speculate that it is
                        because the final detailed design has not yet
                        been completed. In recent DFI Roads contracts,
                        such the dualling of the A6, the appointed
                        contractor assists with completing the design
                        prior to beginning work, which can take a number
                        of months. In addition, the contractor will need
                        some time to ramp up for a project of this
                        nature in a uniquely confined site that will
                        likely require large cranes and a traffic
                        management plan worthy of a small army. The
                        Tory/DUP money must be spent within two years,
                        which is cutting it fine, but it's likely that
                        financiers at Stormont will be able to do some
                        financial jiggery-pokery that will make it work.
                        Of course, it is also possible that the DUP/Tory
                        deal might fall apart long before 2019 in which
                        case this money might return to the ether from
                        whence it came. As I often say, nothing is
                        certain until the bulldozers are on the site. 
                       
                      13 Apr 2017: In my previous update I
                        said that a contractor had been appointed but
                        not publicly announced. No announcement ever
                        came. It has since emerged that the reason for
                        this is that one of the unsuccessful contractors
                        has launched a legal challenge to the
                        appointment. Nothing more has been said
                        publicly, but it seems that it comes down to the
                        way the tenders were assessed, in particular the
                        relative weight given to cost versus prior
                        experience of similar schemes. The legal
                        challenge looks likely to delay this scheme by
                        about nine months, which sounds bad, but in
                        practice is likely to be a moot point since the
                        scheme has no funding allocation (for
                        construction) anyway, nor do we have a
                        functioning Executive that could allocate such
                        funding. So at this point the earliest possible
                        start date for the scheme – assuming that
                        funding miraculously appears out of the ether –
                        would be early 2018. But my pragmatic side is
                        saying that even this is optimistic, with
                        funding likely to remain focused on the A5 and
                        A6 for the foreseeable future. 
                       
                      26 Feb 2017: The legal order required to
                        give DFI permission to build this scheme was
                        published on 24 January, to come into operation
                        on 7 March. You can read
                          it here (it may help if you're having
                        difficulty sleeping!). Building a new trunk road
                        involves a number of legal orders, so this is
                        just one of the legal steps required to make it
                        happen. But it does suggest active work. The
                        scheme has been out to tender since November
                        2015, but the grapevine is suggesting that a
                        contractor has recently been appointed for
                        design and construction. Nothing has been said
                        publicly, however, so we'll have to await the
                        public announcement before we can say any more.
                        What this does, at least, suggest is that the
                        tendering process is no longer "on hold" as was
                        the case last autumn. The big unknown is still
                        money - there is currently a need, a design, a
                        strong will and perhaps a contractor... but
                        insufficient money. The outcome of the Assembly
                        election this week will help determine the
                        future direction of Northern Ireland's
                        government, so for now we can only wait. 
                       
                      28 Jan 2017: With an Assembly election
                        looming, the outgoing DFI Minister released a
                        press release on 24 January about this scheme,
                        (though oddly it doesn't currently appear on the
                        DFI web site). In it he said "funding of up
                          to £4million will be made available to develop
                          the York Street Interchange Scheme to a
                          construction ready state and has confirmed
                          that contract award for the scheme development
                          will be progressed". He went on to say
                        that the funding would "allow the scheme to
                          be developed to a point where construction
                          could begin. The identification of funding for
                          the construction phase will be dependent on
                          future budgets and is unclear at this time".
                        This is absolutely full of caveats. All it is
                        really saying is that development work will
                        continue but that there is no money to build it
                        and no timescale for doing so. The note that "contract
                          award for the scheme development will be
                          progressed" is interestingly worded. The
                        contract for schemes like this is usually
                        divided into a design phase and a build phase,
                        with the contractor involved in both but a
                        "break" clause between them so that the scheme
                        could conceivably not be built even with a
                        contractor appointed. The wording of the press
                        release seems to be saying that a contractor
                        will be appointed (but doesn't say when) and
                        that this would be for scheme "development", ie
                        the design phase. In summary, I would read this
                        press release as an attempt to show that the
                        Minister supports the scheme and wants to
                        progress it, but as a press release it also
                        succeeds at not committing to actually doing so
                        or to any particular timescale. So I think it's
                        a case of "as you were". 
                       
                      26 Dec 2016: As predicted in the
                        previous update, the Minister announced
                          his intention to proceed with the York
                        Street Interchange scheme on 15 November, though
                        I have not had a chance to update the site until
                        now. Four things were published on this date.
                        Firstly, there is Inspector's report of
                        the public inquiry which was held in November
                        2015. The inspector has basically recommended
                        that the scheme proceed in its current form,
                        with only minor tweaks, ie as a series of
                        underpasses creating freeflow links on all four
                        movements between Westlink and the M2 and
                        Westlink and the M3. You can download the
                        Inspector's report from this
                          page. Secondly, the Departmental
                          Statement was also published. This is the
                        DFI's official response to the Inspector's
                        report, and sets out their reaction to each of
                        the inspectors' recommendations. The
                        Departmental Statement can also be downloaded
                        from this
                          page. Thirdly, the Notice to Proceed
                        basically sets out formally that they intend to
                        move towards construction. And finally, the Designation
                          Order is a legal document needed to give
                        TransportNI permission to build new sections of
                        trunk road. This is all well and good, but the
                        one thing missing from the equation is the money
                        needed to build it, and therefore also any
                        timetable for construction. The procurement
                        process is technically underway, but currently
                        on hold. The decision to put the tender award on
                        hold resulted in a lot of debate in October,
                        most notably in the Assembly in late 2016 where
                        you can see a range of written
                          questions on the subject. 
                       
                      The Minister clarified his position on 20
                        October 2016 in a press
                          release and it worth quoting him at
                        length: "while [York Street Interchange] is a
                          project that could have attracted up to 40% EU
                          funding, there would still be a 60% gap to
                          make up. My Department has of course been
                          pursuing European funding for York Street
                          Interchange through the Connecting Europe
                          Facility. Unlike structural funds, this is a
                          highly competitive funding programme with
                          member states required to submit applications
                          as part of a formal bidding process. This is
                          implemented by a series of calls for funding.
                          The next call for major projects is
                          anticipated for early 2018. As a result, the
                          funding stream for this project goes beyond
                          the timeframe set by the chancellor [who
                          guaranteed to cover EU funding up to the date
                          of the UK's departure from the EU]. To clarify
                          the position on procurement of the York Street
                          project specifically, the bidding exercise has
                          now been extended so procurement decisions can
                          be made in line with future funding
                          allocations.” Note that in the same press
                        release he gave the cost of the scheme as £130m,
                        which is more specific and surprisingly better
                        than the £125m-165m being quoted two years ago,
                        so we will run with that. 
                       
                      So the position of the Minister is that the
                        scheme will go ahead, but that the earliest
                        possible date to apply or EU funding is early
                        2018. That may well be true, and I have no
                        reason to doubt the Minister, but something
                        doesn't quite add up in my head here. On 15
                        March 2016 the then-DRD Minister Michelle
                        McIlveen released a press release announcing the
                        start of the procurement process and stating
                        that "Construction is programmed to commence
                          late in 2017 and be completed by the end of
                          2020". This press release has mysteriously
                        vanished from the Executive press release archive
                        but it was reported by the BBC the next
                          day. The press release explicitly
                        states that justification for going out to
                        procurement at that stage was in order to
                        qualify for EU funding, and at this stage it was
                        obvious from all conversations that the
                        intention was to proceed with part EU funding
                        (up to 40%). Both the above press release and
                        folks I spoke to in TransportNI in this period
                        seemed to be working on the assumption that it
                        would begin in late 2017 and that there would be
                        EU funding. However, the new DFI Minister is now
                        quite clear that the earliest possible date to
                        even apply for EU funding is early 2018.
                        If that is true, then commencement in late 2017
                        was surely never on the cards? And that means
                        that either someone senior in the DRD was wrong
                        in March 2016 or someone senior in the DFI is
                        wrong now. So I continue to hold the view that
                        there is something more going on here than the
                        mere availability of funding. Time will surely
                        tell. 
                       
                      19 Oct 2016: Yesterday TransportNI
                        issued their updated "procurement
                          plan" for the current financial year. This
                        document is mainly for the benefit of
                        contractors and allows us to see what contracts
                        have been awarded, are to be awarded and which
                        are yet to go to tender. The tender process for
                        this scheme is currently underway (and has been
                        since March when the proper tender process
                        began) but tellingly, York Street Interchange is
                        listed in the procurement plan "on hold", the
                        only scheme in the list to say this. This is yet
                        another indication that the timescale of this
                        scheme is now much less certain. This evening
                        InfrastructureNI tweeted
                        the clarification: "Progress on the York
                          Street Interchange scheme to be determined by
                          the forthcoming Budget process. Until then,
                          procurement on hold". As I have said
                        before (see update below on 17 Aug for example)
                        since May the scheme has had the double hit of
                        (a) Brexit potentially torbedoeing its EU
                        funding (up to 40%) plus (b) a Minister who is
                        very keen to invest in roads in the North West
                        and clearly views the A5 and A6 as higher
                        priorities. The former, likely influenced by the
                        latter to some extent, is the likely reason for
                        the tender process now being put "on hold".
                        TransportNI had previously said they wanted the
                        scheme to go to ground in Autumn 2017, and this
                        seems unlikely now. That said, the scheme has
                        not been cancelled, merely delayed. The tweet by
                        InfrastructureNI is correct that there is to be
                        a budget announcement sometime later in the
                        autumn which could (potentially) release
                        additional funds for York Street Interchange.
                        There is also the UK Chancellor's guarantee to
                        cover EU funding for offers received from now up
                        to the date of the UK's final departure from the
                        European Union. So if those two stars align the
                        scheme could still go ahead. However, my
                        expectation is that the Minister will announce
                        before too long that he has decided to proceed
                        with the scheme, but on a longer timeframe
                        than hitherto anticpated. 
                       
                      8 Oct 2016: After my rather pessimistic
                        assessment last week (see previous update below)
                        there was some welcome positive news for this
                        scheme this week. The UK government has
                          extended its guarantee to cover any EU
                        funds lost as a result of Brexit from those
                        offered up to the Autumn Statement this year
                        until those offered up to the date of the UK's
                        final departure from the European Union, which
                        we know is at least two years way. This means
                        that if TransportNI can secure an offer of EU
                        funding for York Street Interchange within the
                        next two years or so, the UK government will
                        guarantee to pay it if we have left the EU by
                        the time it's built. So that removes a bit of
                        uncertainty from the funding side of things.
                        This does not necessarily mean that TransportNI
                        actually have to BUILD it in that timeframe
                        (though we may have to have started it) but
                        provided we have the offer then it ought to be
                        covered. So this does seem to add some concrete
                        to the scheme - if you can excuse the pun -
                        though still doesn't allow us to conclude much
                        about when it might actually happen. The Finance
                        Minister is due to make funding announcements in
                        the next few weeks which will allow the
                        Infrastructure Minister to make more solid
                        plans. 
                      2 Oct 2016: In a Written
                          Answer in the Assembly on 22 September the
                        DFI Minister confirmed that the result of the EU
                        referendum has delayed publication of the Public
                        Inquiry Inspector's Report (which we had
                        expected in the spring of 2016) and the DFI's
                        response to the Report, termed the "Departmental
                        Statement". He went on to say "I plan to make
                          an announcement with regard to the Public
                          Inquiry within the next few weeks and this
                          will inform the progress towards construction
                          for this project". Now this scheme is
                        currently out to tender and TransportNI have
                        previously indicated that they want to be in a
                        position to begin construction in just over a
                        year's time, in late 2017. The scheme stands to
                        get up to 40% EU funding (over £60m) and this is
                        now obviously in jeopardy, meaning that the bill
                        for the Executive has now gone up by the same
                        amount. And although the tender process is
                        underway it's vital to understand that the
                        Executive has currently given NO funding to
                        allow York Street Interchange to proceed to
                        construction. Because my feeling is still that
                        the Minister does not want to commit any funds
                        to this scheme before he funds schemes on the A5
                        and A6, in my view the "announcement" is going
                        to be publication of the Inspector's Report and
                        the Departmental Statement, plus a
                        well-publicised decision to proceed, but nothing
                        more, ie no funding and no actual commencement
                        of construction. So expect a press release that
                        says something like "Minister decides to proceed
                        with York Street Interchange" but is vague on
                        when this will happen. 
                       
                      17 Aug 2016: This update is to put in
                        writing something that I have suspected since
                        the election, namely that the future of this
                        scheme is looking very shakey. Given that I have
                        long had the impression that this scheme is
                        regarded as the highest priority scheme amongst
                        TransportNI engineers - and is in fact out to
                        tender as we speak, with commencement of
                        construction said to be just over a year away -
                        this would be quite a turnaround. There are two
                        reasons for me thinking the future of the scheme
                        is shakey. Firstly, Brexit. This scheme
                        is on Euroroute E01, which means that it stood
                        to get a substantial EU contribution, up to 40%.
                        With a total cost of up to £165m, 40% funding
                        would mean a figure of over £60m. The outcome of
                        the EU referendum on 23 June threw this funding
                        into jeopardy, and losing £60m is a serious
                        setback. The DfI Minister, Chris Hazzard, said
                        in an
                          interview in the Irish News last week "There
                          is no doubt that some of the projects that
                          this department and myself would have been
                          looking at [primarily York St Interchange]
                          would involve additional funds from Europe. These
                          are the challenges we face over the months and
                          years ahead if we want to move on and develop
                          our infrastructure – how are we going to make
                          up the (funding) gap?" However, I don't
                        think it would be right to suggest that Brexit
                        is the only issue here. I am also getting the
                        distinct impression that the new DfI Minister is
                          lukewarm on York Street interchange
                        anyway. I first noted this in
                          my blog before the EU vote, where I
                        observed that it was really strange that Mr
                        Hazzard's list of upcoming schemes did not even
                        mention York Street, given that it was one of
                        the highest profile schemes in development. His
                        tendency to say little or nothing about York
                        Street has continued since then, contrasting
                        sharply with Danny Kennedy's comparative
                        enthusiasm. Why might the Minister not be keen
                        on York Street interchange? Well, in June he
                        issued a
                          press release that explicitly said that
                        his priority would be "to deliver
                          infrastructure projects to connect people and
                          address the infrastructure deficit west of the
                          Bann", which he explained meant upgrades
                        of the A5 and A6. He went on to say that "Construction
                          of the first phase of the A5 Western Transport
                          Corridor, from Newbuildings to north of
                          Strabane, is due to begin in 2017... However,
                        I am currently looking at how funding
                            could be increased to expedite delivery of
                            the A5 scheme" (emphasis mine). My
                        theory - and it is just a theory - is that
                        Minister has nothing against York Street in
                        principle, but he wants to throw all the
                        resources TransportNI have at the A5 and A6 and
                        get as much of those upgraded before any more
                        road upgrades take place in Belfast. I doubt
                        very much that the senior engineers would agree
                        with this approach, but the Minister is the
                        boss, and rightly so because he is an elected
                        public representative. And that, if this is
                        indeed his plan, the Brexit vote will have made
                        his job in selling such a decision to the
                        road-using public much easier. So I am going to
                        go out on a limb here and say that in my view
                        there is very little chance of York Street
                        interchange actually getting underway in late
                        2017 as stated by TransportNI in March 2016 and
                        that it could, in fact, be delayed by several
                        years beyond then. 
                       
                      2 May 2016: Just before the pre-election
                        purdah period began, the DRD Minister released a
                          press release on 15 March announcing "the
                          start of a tender process to appoint a
                          contractor" for this scheme. Actually the
                        tender "process" has been underway since
                        November 2015 when the pre-tender phase began,
                        during which contractors are allowed to express
                        interest in tendering. Once that's completed, it
                        enters a second phase where selected contractors
                        them submit their tenders. Presumably the press
                        release was indicating that the second of these
                        phases had begun. Semantics aside, the press
                        release more usefully indicated that a
                        contractor for the first phase of the project
                        (design, detailed cost estimates and ground
                        investigation works) should be in place by July
                        this year, at which point "a final
                          announcement on the Department’s intentions
                          will be published", ie they'll say whether
                        or not they're going to go ahead and build it.
                        This will depend on the outcome of the public
                        inquiry that took place last autumn, though I
                        think it's very unlikely that they'll not
                        proceed at this stage given how much of a
                        priority it has within the DRD and almost
                        universal support across the mainstream
                        political spectrum. The contract for the second
                        phase of the project, construction, is then due
                        to be awarded in July 2017 and will involve
                        detailed design and then construction of the
                        junction. The press release also states that "construction
                          is programmed to commence late in 2017 and be
                          completed by the end of 2020". This is
                        true, but the key missing piece in the jigsaw is
                        funding - which the Executive has not yet
                        granted. Without this, the scheme's "programmed"
                        commencement date doesn't mean anything, so we
                        would need to see some announcement on this
                        within the next 18 months for this to happen.
                        The Minister was more explicit on this point
                        when she answered a question on the subject in
                          the Assembly on the same date: "My
                          Department has commenced the procurement
                          process ... in order to be in a position to
                          commence construction towards the end of 2017.
                          The development and construction of the scheme
                          to the programme that I outlined is very
                          dependent on the availability of finance. A
                          full economic business case will have to be
                          approved by the Department of Finance and
                          Personnel before any commitments can be given
                          to start construction." 
                       
                      On the point of funding, the DRD Minister has
                        confirmed in
                          the Assembly in early February that the
                        scheme is eligible for part-funding from the
                        European Union because it is on the TEN-T
                        network (the network of core roads throughout
                        the EU, the Larne to Rosslare route via Westlink
                        being part of route E01). She said that the
                        scheme "is one of very few schemes to be
                          pre-identified for future [EU] funding. The
                          proposed construction programme of November
                          2017 to December 2020 aligns the funding
                          profile expected for the next call. Therefore,
                          the scheme will be in a pretty good place to
                          have a good strong bid. The project lies on
                          the North Sea/Mediterranean corridor in the
                          TEN-T network. Officials have successfully
                          negotiated for the interchange's inclusion as
                          a pre-identified project in the corridor work
                          plan." Obviously the upcoming EU
                        referendum has the potential to throw a spanner
                        in the works of such a bid. 
                       
                      11 Feb 2016: According to a Written
                          Answer in the Assembly (AQO 9518/11-16),
                        we now know for certain that the Public Inquiry
                        Inspector has now completed his Report and this
                        has been submitted to the DRD. The DRD will now
                        examine the report and decide if they are going
                        to change anything in their plans as a result.
                        Once this work is done they will publish the
                        Inspector's Report and their response (the
                        "Departmental Statement") simultaneously. The
                        Written Answer suggests this will happen in
                        "spring 2016", ie within the next four months.
                        This is very quick indeed (by contrast the DRD
                        has still not published these documents for the
                        A6 Derry-Dungiven scheme despite having had the
                        Inspector's Report for almost three years) and
                        proves that this scheme is indeed a very high
                        priority within the DRD. She added that the aim
                        was "beginning construction toward the end of
                          2017" adding that "this programme
                          dovetails with the requirements for EU funding".
                        There is currently no funding for the scheme
                        despite these positive words. Whether the scheme
                        gets funding to commence in late 2017 is not
                        down to the DRD Minister, but will depend on
                        whether the Executive agrees to give it funding
                        in the 2017/18 financial year. Meanwhile, work
                        is well underway on the preparatory "York
                          Street Interchange Advanced Works - Storm
                          Chamber" project which is underway
                        adjacent to the M3 flyover. It involves the
                        construction of underground wastewater
                        infrastructure within the York Street junction
                        that will ultimately be used to take rainwater
                        away from the completed junction. The image
                        below was taken yesterday about
                          here and shows the top of a vertical shaft
                        in a car park under the M3 flyover. I don't
                        think this is the storm chamber itself, but
                        rather an access shaft that the contractor,
                        Terra Solutions, is currently using to carry out
                        their work underground. The work is being
                        carried out using "trenchless" technology, which
                        presumably means they don't need to dig up the
                        entire length of the pipework. 
                       
                        
                      The top of a vertical shaft that
                        has been constructed for the "York Street
                        Interchange Advanced Works - Storm Chamber"
                        project that is currently underway in and around
                        the M3 flyover. Taken 10 Feb 2016 [Wesley
                        Johnston]. 
                       
                      29 Jan 2016: The tender process to
                        appoint a contractor to build York Street
                        Interchange is currently underway. The first
                        phase (to create a shortlist of contractors that
                        will go on to phase 2) ended on 12 January but
                        phase 2 will take place out of the public eye.
                        These things take quite a while, so I don't
                        expect to hear of a contractor being appointed
                        until maybe mid 2016. In the meantime, however,
                        the DRD Minister mentioned the scheme in an
                        Assembly Written
                          Answer (AQW 52171/11-16) this week. She
                        confirmed what we know about the tender process,
                        and then added "It is anticipated that,
                          subject to successful completion of statutory
                          procedures and the necessary funding being
                          made available, the York Street Interchange
                          scheme will be ready to commence construction
                          in 2017/18." The reference to "successful
                        completion of statutory procedures" basically
                        means "assuming it passes the public inquiry"
                        that happened in November. I'm not anticipating
                        any difficulties in that regard. The second
                        reference, to "necessary funding being made
                          available" is a much bigger "if". Funding
                        allocations for the next five years were
                        unveiled by the Executive on 17 December made no
                        allocations at all for York Street interchange
                        for the period up to 2021. That does not rule
                        out money being made available - the 17 December
                        allocations were not the ONLY money that can be
                        made available for roads in the next five years,
                        so there is still hope that some money will come
                        through for York Street Interchange in that
                        period. In its favour is the fact that
                        this scheme will likely benefit from EU money to
                        quite a significant degree - assuming there
                        isn't a #Brexit in the meantime of course! In
                        August I said that the scheme could get underway
                        in late 2016 or 2017 if it was progressed at top
                        speed, but the Minister's statement is, I
                        think, more realistic in suggesting that it
                        could be ready to begin construction in 2017/18,
                        pretty much ruling out commencement later this
                        year. With a three year construction period,
                        that means the earliest possible completion date
                        with everything going like clockwork would be
                        mid 2020. The next two things to look out for
                        are (1) the Inspector completing his report of
                        the public inquiry (which will not be published
                        until a later date however) and (2) the
                        appointment of a contractor. 
                       
                      11 Dec 2015: In the update in September
                        (below) I noted that the DRD was issuing a
                        tender for a project called "York Street
                          Interchange Advanced Works - Storm Chamber",
                        which appears to involve the construction of an
                        underground drainage chamber adjacent to the M3
                        viaduct. To be clear, although this appears to
                        be required to facilitate the York Street
                        Interchange project, it's not part of the main
                        construction tender which has only just
                        commenced. A "storm chamber" is usually a large
                        underground chamber designed to hold water
                        running off a road or other surface in the event
                        of high rainfall to prevent it overwhelming
                        local water infrastructure. I do know also that
                        an arrangement has been reached with NI Water
                        that the drainage infrastructure to be built as
                        part of the York Street Interchange will also
                        take runoff from surrounding land too. So the
                        contract might be related to this. The
                        construction contract for the "Storm Chamber"
                        project was awarded
                        to "Terra Solutions Ltd" on 1 December. Terra
                          Solutions are a Newry-based firm
                        specialising in trenchless civil engineering
                        work. We will probably see evidence of this work
                        taking place within the York Street interchange
                        area over the coming months. The way in which it
                        was awarded suggests that the contract value is
                        probably below £1m. 
                       
                      23 Nov 2015: The Public Inquiry has now
                        ended, after lasting three days approximately
                          one week, plus some site visits. I
                        managed to attend a couple of hours of the
                        Inquiry out of personal interest - it was quite
                        a lively affair, and the transcript will make
                        for interesting reading in future years. Two
                        alternative proposals were put forward to the
                        Inspector, both claiming to offer fewer impacts
                        on the local area, which the Inspector will now
                        consider along with the more specific
                        objections. Meanwhile, some exciting news - the
                        initial phase of the construction
                          tender for the scheme commenced yesterday.
                        This is a two-phase process to appoint a
                        contractor. This first phase, which closes on 12
                        January 2016, is to allow contractors to express
                        interest in tendering for the scheme. Those who
                        appear to be credible enough to carry out the
                        work will then be invited to submit their actual
                        tender. This second phase will be done out of
                        public view, so after 12 January we will hear
                        nothing more until the announcement that a
                        contractor has been appointed, sometime later in
                        2016. The "contract duration" is given as 53
                        months, which is about four and a half years.
                        Since we know actual construction will only take
                        about three years, this presumably also
                        incorporates the advanced design phase. A few
                        points need to be stressed here. Firstly, this
                        does not in any way prejudge the public inquiry
                        - contracts like this are always worded in such
                        a way that there is a break between the
                        completion of design and actual construction, so
                        if the Executive or the DRD decide not to
                        proceed to construction, there is no contractual
                        problem. Secondly, even if a contractor is
                        appointed, construction will not take place
                        until the Executive funds the scheme. So it's
                        possible that - like has happened on the A6 from
                        Randalstown to Castledawson - that the
                        contractor could be appointed but no work
                        actually take place on the ground. The DRD seem
                        to be keen to begin work on the ground within 12
                        months - it remains to be seen whether the
                        Executive will provide funding to permit this. 
                       
                      9 Nov 2015: The Public Inquiry begins
                        tomorrow, 10th November in Assembly Buildings
                        Conference Centre, Fisherwick Place, Belfast BT1
                        6DW, starting at 10.00 am. Given the large scale
                        of this project and the number of issues it
                        raises I would expect it to last for a number of
                        days. It remains to be seen whether it will
                        attract much media interest. This will be the
                        sixth public inquiry in the history of the
                        Belfast Urban Motorway (which later evolved into
                        Westlink and the M3) - the previous five being
                        held in 1969, 1972, 1977, 1988 and 2000 - so
                        this scheme should be seen in its historical
                        context as a continuation of events of the past
                        fifty years, and not in isolation. (If you are
                        interested in the history of the Belfast Urban
                        Motorway can I humbly suggest my
                          book!) You can find out more about the
                        Public Inquiry and how to contribute here.
                        TransportNI has also recently published its procurement
                          update (basically a list of what it
                        intends to spend money on, and when) and this
                        again shows that the intention is to release the
                        tender for design and construction of this
                        scheme before December with a contractor to be
                        appointed by June 2016. This does not pre-empt
                        the Inquiry since most design and build
                        contracts like this one have clauses that allow
                        for the possibility that the scheme might not
                        proceed to construction. Potential contractors
                        were invited to an "open forum", organised by
                        TransportNI, on 23 September where (I assume)
                        contractors were able to ask questions of
                        TransportNI prior to the tendering process
                        opening. 
                       
                      8 Oct 2015: The pre-inquiry meeting
                        took place on Monday, 5 October to which all
                        objectors were invited (see previous update
                        below). It seems that only 33 objections were
                        received which, given the enormous impact of
                        this scheme on the locality, is really quite
                        remarkable. Of these, 20 related to provisions
                        for cyclists and pedestrians and 3 felt that the
                        A5 and/or A6 schemes should be prioritised.
                        Also, a dedicated
                          web site seems to have been set up for the
                        scheme featuring all the information about the
                        scheme and some videos. The DRD has re-launched
                        its own web site which looks very good, although
                        it does mean that most of the links from my site
                        to the DRD site are now broken! 
                       
                      14 Sep 2015: I continue to be astounded
                        by the rapid pace of work on this scheme, and I
                        am convinced now that it is one of the highest,
                        if not the highest, priority scheme within the
                        DRD. Information is
                          now being circulated about the public
                        inquiry which will take place from 10th November
                        2015 in Assembly Buildings, Fisherwick Place,
                        Belfast. It will be led by Mr Jim Robb, who has
                        chaired a number of recent public inquiries
                        including the various A6 schemes. A pre-inquiry
                        meeting is to be held from 10.30 am on 5th
                        October in the same venue. It seems that anyone
                        who wants to address the public inquiry is
                        expected to turn up at this pre-inquiry meeting
                        and also to supply a copy of all evidence that
                        they intend to give to the inquiry by this date.
                        This gives less than a month for any objectors
                        to write and submit their evidence. I am not
                        sure that objectors can be compelled to hand
                        their evidence over to the inquiry in this way,
                        but I can understand the Inspector's desire to
                        request this. In related news, a future tender
                        has appeared on the DRD
                          web site for what is called "York
                          Street Interchange Advanced Works - Storm
                          Chamber", which appears to involve the
                        construction of an underground drainage chamber
                        adjacent to the M3 viaduct. It is estimated to
                        be released for tender this month. It's not
                        clear why these works aren't bundled in with the
                        main construction tender, but it could be that
                        it is somehow critical to the schedule of works
                        and that having it constructed ahead of the main
                        scheme could speed things up. The DRD must be
                        very confident that the scheme will pass the
                        public inquiry if they are prepared to issue
                        tenders like this ahead of the inquiry! Finally,
                        the DRD Minister resigned last week, and has not
                        yet been replaced, so it is unclear now what
                        criteria DRD managers can use to decide what
                        progresses and when. However, speaking as
                        someone who has closely observed the road
                        construction programme over the past decade, I
                        have to say that if York Street Interchange were
                        to get funding before the scheme to dual the A6
                        from Randalstown to Castledawson then something
                        would definitely not be right. 
                       
                      18 Aug 2015: A "prior information
                        notice" about this scheme appeared on the European
                          Union's tender system ten days ago. This
                        is NOT an advertisement for tenders for the
                        scheme, but rather notice that such a tender
                        will be following. Think of it as a "heads up"
                        to the civil engineering community. It is pretty
                        obvious now that this scheme is being pushed
                        ahead as rapidly as possible within the DRD, and
                        indeed the DRD's own list of "future
                          tenders" suggests that the tender will be
                        released in November this year. Although the
                        public inquiry has not happened, this is not
                        pre-empting the inquiry since TransportNI has
                        moved to "Early Contractor Involvement"
                        contracts (see previous update below). The
                        "prior information notice" on the EU web site
                        suggests that the tender will be published on 16
                        November 2015 (although this may not be set in
                        stone). Astonishingly, it then goes on to
                        suggest a scheduled date for start of
                        construction as 1 July 2016! That would mean
                        seven and a half months for the entire tender
                        process, as well as carrying out the public
                        inquiry, writing the inspector's report and
                        dealing with any recommendations. So I am
                        somewhat skeptical that work could start as
                        quickly as that. However, the project completion
                        date given is December 2020, ie four and a half
                        years after the start of work. That, I think, is
                        more time than the project would really need (we
                        have been led to believe that construction will
                        take about three years) so this suggests that
                        these two dates are more the book-ends of a time
                        period during which construction would proceed,
                        but not necessarily taking that entire time
                        period. In December 2014 (see earlier updates
                        below) the official position was a start date in
                        2018, but that an "acceleration" was being
                        considered, and I think this is in fact the
                        case. Subject to the public inquiry, I think a
                        commencement date of late 2016 or 2017 is
                        possible if a rapid pace of work is maintained.
                        I still believe that the A6
                          Randalstown to Castledawson dualling scheme
                        will begin first (if it doesn't there's
                        something wrong) but I think that this scheme
                        may well be next in the queue after that. There
                        are interesting times ahead for lovers (or
                        otherwise) of urban motorways. 
                       
                      10 Jun 2015: The DRD
                          web site is now reporting that "Gateway 2"
                        for this scheme was approved by the TransportNI
                        on 14 May 2015. This is official speak for "OK,
                        let's prepare the contract documents". In the
                        past 3 or 4 years, TransportNI has moved to
                        "Early Contractor Involvement" contracts which
                        means that they involve contractors during the
                        design phases, and not waiting until all the
                        planning is done. This seems to lead to benefits
                        for everyone. So it makes sense to prepare the
                        contract documents now, even though the public
                        inquiry hasn't even happened yet (that's
                        starting 10 Nov 2015). The rapid progression of
                        timescales for this scheme reinforces my view
                        that this scheme is a very high priority within
                        TransportNI (I would now place it second in the
                        pecking order after the A6
                          Randalstown to Castledawson dualling scheme
                        which I still think will proceed next). The
                        scheme could well proceed to construction in
                        2018 as TransportNI seem to hope. 
                       
                      29 May 2015: It has now been revealed,
                        via the minutes
                          of a recent meeting, that the public
                        inquiry into the York Street interchange project
                        will begin on 10 November 2015. The same
                        minutes reveal that the DRD are seeking to
                        complete the project by 2021. With a
                        construction period of three years, this would
                        mean commencing work during 2018. This seems
                        just about feasible provided (i) the public
                        inquiry does not raise any serious problems (ii)
                        the process of appointing a contractor goes
                        smoothly and (iii) provided there is any cash to
                        actually build it in 2018. With the current
                        financial fiasco that is gripping Stormont,
                        especially after the events of the past week, it
                        is very far from certain whether this will be
                        the case. If the financial empasse is not
                        resolved, we could be looking at very deep cuts
                        to the DRD in the next 2 or 3 years which in a
                        worst-case scenario could mean no money at all
                        for road improvement schemes. 
                       
                      25 Mar 2015: The public exhibition took
                        place in February as discussed below, and this
                        included an incredible 3D model of the proposed
                        junction which the public were able to see - see
                        picture below. The DRD Minister today announced
                        that there will be a public inquiry. This is
                        interesting not because there will be an inquiry
                        (an inquiry was inevitable) but because it's
                        come so rapidly after the end of the
                        consultation period, which ended just 15 days
                        ago. This rapid movement to the next stage
                        suggests that this scheme is a high priority
                        within TransportNI and that they are keen to
                        keep the ball rolling. The press release
                        indicates that the inquiry will likely be held
                        in "late autumn 2015", which we could take to
                        mean November. This scheme will mark another
                        chapter in the long-running history of what
                        began life in the 60s as the Belfast
                          Urban Motorway. Its highly sensitive
                        location close to the city centre means that the
                        inquiry will have to consider a very wide range
                        of issues. If the pace of work continues, and if
                        the Dept of Finance comes up with the necessary
                        funding, work could be underway within three
                        years. 
                       
                       
                        Model of TransportNI's proposed York Street
                        junction on display, 10 Feb 2015. The tan colour
                        on some of the ground around the junction
                        indicates land that could be released for
                        development, while green coloured land would
                        remain owned by TransportNI. Thank you to the
                        folks at TransportNI who facilitated me taking
                        this photo. [Wesley Johnston]
                        
                      27 Jan 2015: The DRD Minister
                        today announced
                        that the draft legal orders for this scheme have
                        now
                          been published. These are the three legal
                        documents required before a new road can be
                        built. They are: the Designation Order
                        (detailing where the new trunk road is to run),
                        the Environmental Statement (a weighty tome that
                        makes the case for the road and details its
                        impacts) and the Vesting Order (which compels
                        landowners to sell the land required for the
                        road). These documents are "draft" at this stage
                        in the sense that the scheme is still being
                        planned. These documents will form the basis of
                        the Public Inquiry which will certainly have to
                        be held. Before the Public Inquiry, however,
                        there is a public consultation to gauge public
                        opinion and invite comments or objections, and
                        that is what today's announcement is setting in
                        motion. The consultation period will run from 28
                        January until 10 March. The Minister said in his
                        press release that "I would encourage
                          everyone who cares about the development of
                          our road infrastructure to get involved and
                          take part in the public consultation process",
                        a sentiment with which I wholeheartedly agree
                        and echo, especially given the scale of these
                        proposals. To assist the public a new document,
                        the Stage 3 Assessment Report, has
                          just been published on the DRD web site
                        which incorporates the Environmental Statement.
                        The other
                          two draft legal orders are there too.
                        There is a lot of material to digest here and I
                        have not yet read it myself! The only comment of
                        note to make now is that the cost has been
                        revised up to £125-165m which is quite an
                        increase on the cost of £100-135m that was
                        estimated in December 2012. The press release
                        also clarifies that construction would take
                        roughly three years. There will be a public
                          exhibition in the Ramada Encore hotel in
                        Belfast city centre, where a scale model and
                        computer generated graphics of the scheme will
                        be on display. The exhibition will be open on
                        Monday 9 February from 2pm to 9pm and
                        Tuesday 10 February from 10am to 9pm. 
                       
                      18 Dec 2014: The Minister was
                        asked about this scheme in
                          the Assembly last week. In my update 12
                        days ago I noted that we have not yet had
                        publication of the draft legal orders, and so it
                        is timely the Minister said that this would
                        happen "during the current financial year",
                        which we can take to mean by April 2015. This
                        would almost certainly be followed by a public
                        inquiry. He reiterated the view that
                        construction on the scheme could get underway
                        "in 2018" subject to finance and would take
                        three years to build. This would see the
                        junction completed in 2021. This is a
                        challenging timescale, but I believe do-able if
                        everything moves at peak efficiency. The biggest
                        caveat is probably funding - with increasing
                        austerity the scheme may well reach the point of
                        being shovel-ready but not commence due to lack
                        of funds. It would also be a brave Minister
                        indeed who would announce funding for this
                        scheme ahead of any more work on the A6 (the
                        road to Derry)! Meanwhile, in a question
                          for Written Answer published a fortnight
                        ago, the Minister said that "is expected
                          that the vesting of land for the project will
                          commence early in 2015". It remains to be
                        seen how realistic this is, given that the
                        Vesting Order has not even been published yet
                        and that the scheme may well need a public
                        inquiry. One advantage is that the DRD already
                        owns some of the land needed, eg the car park
                        mentioned in the question, and also their
                          own TransportNI section office which will
                        have to be demolished. 
                       
                      6 Dec 2014: According to the minutes of
                        a TransportNI board meeting held on 1 October
                        (but just
                          published) this scheme continues to
                        progress rapidly. The minutes state that "the
                          current programme envisages an early 2018
                          start date, however, acceleration of the
                          project is being considered". Given that
                        we have not even had publication of the
                        Environmental Statement, let alone a public
                        inquiry, starting construction in early 2018
                        would require a constant pace of work from now,
                        while accelerating the programme would be
                        challenging. For example, the type of large
                        cranes needed require up to 12 months' notice
                        before being installed. Nevertheless, this
                        comment implies that TransportNI now regard this
                        as one of the most important road schemes in the
                        planning stages. 
                       
                      7 Jun 2014: Back in mid May the DRD released
                          their vision for the future of investment in
                          railways over the next 20 years. The plan
                        includes a scheme to widen the Dargan Viaduct in
                        Belfast from one to two lanes. This is the
                        stretch of railway that runs overhead beside the
                        M3 motorway connecting the Larne railway line to
                        the Bangor railway line, and which opened at the
                        same time as the M3 in 1995. This document
                        implies that this work will take place at the
                        same time as (perhaps even in the same contract
                        as) the York Street junction upgrade. The
                        document says "The track dualling is expected
                          to coincide with the Department’s plans to
                          upgrade the Westlink - York Road - M2 road
                          junction, also a bottleneck on the TEN-T Core
                          Corridor." This is yet another example of
                        how the York Street junction upgrade will
                        benefit literally all forms of transport in the
                        city: as well as improving journeys for
                        vehicles, it will allow the reclamation of the
                        local streets for walking, cycling and bus
                        priority infrastructure. Trains are now added to
                        the list of beneficiaries. 
                       
                      4 Dec 2013: Preparation work on this
                        scheme continues to move forward, strongly
                        suggesting that this scheme is considered a high
                        priority within Roads Service. After the
                        announcement of the preferred option almost
                        exactly a year ago, detailed design work on this
                        option has been progressing. The DRD's own
                          web site is saying that work is also
                        taking place on the suite of documents that are
                        required before the scheme can move to the
                        public inquiry stage (the Environmental
                        Statement and draft legal orders) and that these
                        are expected to be ready by "late 2014". If
                        Roads Service keep pushing this scheme we could
                        conceivably see a public inquiry taking place in
                        2015. A public inquiry and follow-up work can
                        take perhaps a year, and procurement a further 9
                        months, so in a best case scenario (ie where
                        there are no unforeseen delays and the Executive
                        makes money available straight away) we could
                        see construction getting underway during 2017.
                        This is my speculation, however: Roads Service
                        have not committed to a timescale. 
                       
                      11 Mar 2013: A Ground Investigation
                        contract got underway on 21 January (according
                        to these
                          meeting minutes) the purpose of which will
                        be to find out exactly what is lurking under the
                        ground at the site of this proposed junction
                        upgrade. This will allow a more detailed design
                        to be undertaken, for example, determining
                        precisely what amount and type of piling will be
                        required in each location. I am getting the
                        impression that this scheme is a high priority
                        within Roads Service. The recently-agreed Investment
                          Strategy for Northern Ireland suggests
                        that after the current round of projects (A5WTC,
                        A8 Larne and A2 Greenisland) the focus will move
                        to the M2, A6 and A26, with a
                        possibility of using what is calls "alternative
                        finance", perhaps some kind of public/private
                        partnership. The reference to "M2" could only
                        refer to the York Street scheme. Therefore, I
                        think we will see things move rapidly on this
                        scheme (or as rapidly as major infrastructure
                        schemes can move, at any rate!). 
                       
                      6 Dec 2012: The announcement of the
                        preferred option for this junction was made this
                        morning. The speculation two days ago (see
                        below) was incorrect, and in fact Roads Service
                        have selected Option C, the fully
                        grade-separated underpass option. There will
                          be no 18 metre flyover at York Street. I
                        have included a screen shot of Option C towards
                        the top of this page, along with some initial
                        observations of the design from a road user's
                        point of view. However, I must take my 'neutral'
                        hat off at this point and add that this is the best
                          decision Roads Service could possibly have
                        made, as the option they have chosen is a
                        win-win for everyone. This option not only gives
                        fully free flowing links to the busiest
                        signalised junction on the road network, and
                        increases its capacity, but will also take a lot
                        of traffic down out of sight below ground level,
                        and will reduce traffic levels significantly on
                        surface streets, potentially allowing schemes to
                        increase public transport / cycling / pedestrian
                        use of these spaces, and also to allow the
                        commercial redevelopment of these streets. The
                        folks at the Forum for
                          Alternative Belfast have developed a commendable
                          plan of how this could be achieved without
                        sacrificing the benefits of the scheme by using
                        Option C as the starting point. I do note that
                        the cost estimate has gone up from £98m (as of
                        2011) to the range £100m-£135m. This cost creep
                        has been a feature of many road schemes here in
                        recent years. For those who are really
                        interested, there are about 1,200 pages of
                        technical drawings and reports available
                          here. You'll find everything from possible
                        sites for cranes to the locations of the drains.
                        The main drawing of the chosen option is here.
                        Happy reading! I will make more detailed
                        comments over on my blog in a week or two once
                        I've had a change to digest this huge report. We
                        should also thank Roads Service for making the
                        report available in such a usable format online. 
                       
                      4 Dec 2012: Further to the previous
                        update, it is now known that the announcement of
                        the preferred option for this scheme will be on
                        Thursday morning, 6th December. The folks at PLACE
                        seem to have information suggesting that the
                        preferred option is Option B (see all
                          four options here, and in the table
                        above). However, this has not been verified by
                        Roads Service. Under Option B all four moments
                        between the Westlink and M2 / M3 would be
                        freeflowing which would be excellent given that
                        two of the options had one signalised
                        connection. The most controversial element of
                        Option B is undoubtedly the 18 metre flyover
                        over the M3 and railway viaducts which is
                        proposed to take the M2->Westlink movement.
                        We will have to wait until Thursday to see if
                        this speculation is correct. 
                       
                      1 Dec 2012: There are rumours that there
                        will be some kind of announcement concerning
                        this scheme before Christmas. As I said in the
                        last update, Roads Service have probably
                        selected a preferred option by now, so any
                        announcement would be likely to relate to this.
                        However, we will have to wait and see what
                        happens. Roads Service were selecting from four
                        preliminary options, as described above. Watch
                        this space. 
                       
                      24 Oct 2012: It has been 16 months since
                        the last update, with nothing further published.
                        However, the DRD web site has just been updated
                        to say that the "Stage 2 Report" was "presented
                          to Roads Service Board October 2012." This
                        report does not seem to have been published
                        online, but it is likely to contain a refinement
                        of the four preliminary options detailed in June
                        last year, probably containing more accurate
                        designs and costings, and probably making a
                        specific recommendation about the preferred
                        option. Hopefully it will be released soon - but
                        Roads Service have not publicised a timetable of
                        milestones for this scheme, so we do not know
                        when this might happen. 
                         
                      5 June 2011: Roads Service
                        and designers Scott Wilson held their exhibition
                        last week which included four excellent 3D
                        animations of the new junction which I hope
                        appear online at some point. You can see
                          some stills on the BBC web site. They gave
                        out leaflets (downloadable
                          here) and questionnaires and spoke to
                        members of the public and presented four options
                        which I have summarised in a table above. Only
                        options B and C are fully freeflow. Options B
                        and D feature a bridge over the existing M2,
                        which would be a significant structure at 18
                        metres above ground level, but not entirely out
                        of keeping with the area. It was pointed out at
                        the consultation that the flyovers allow gentler
                        curves and more coinsistent speeds than the
                        underpass option. The underpass is less visually
                        intrusive, but more challenging as it has to go
                        between the pillars of the M3 and Dargan Railway
                        Bridges which were not designed with this in
                        mind. Since this upgrade will almost certainly
                        be the last major project to be carried out on
                        this junction for several decades, it would seem
                        very shortsighted indeed to go anything short of
                        a fully freeflow design – ie options B and C are
                        the only viable options in my view. In terms of
                        timescale, no money has yet been allocated so
                        there is no construction date other than the
                        more general "by 2018" that was quoted in 2008.
                       
                      14 May 2011: Roads Service
                        will be holding a Public Exhibition of their
                        current proposals on 1 and 2 June 2011, in the
                        Ramada Encore Hotel, St Anne's Square, Belfast.
                        On the 1st the event will run from 2pm to 9pm,
                        and on the 2nd it will run from 10am to 9pm. Full
                          details here. The event will be detailing
                        the current route options, which are probably
                        going to be refined versions of those in the
                        2009 Preliminary Options Report (see previous
                        update). I would urge all those with an interest
                        in the scheme to turn up as this is a pivotal
                        junction, the meeting points of the three
                        busiest roads in Northern Ireland.  
                      12 Mar 2010: This update is
                        purely to draw your attention to the fact that
                        the Preliminary Options Report of March 2009 is
                        available online here
                        (links on right of the page). It goes into
                        incredible detail with maps of everything from
                        the gas mains to traffic signal wiring. It also
                        shows 3D computer generated diagams of the route
                        options (Figures in Section 4). Four of the six
                        options considered have been brought forward for
                        further consideration. I have added links to
                        maps of these four options to the text above -
                        just click the thumbnail images.  
                      6 July 2009: In one
                          of these written answers in the Assembly
                        from mid June, the Minister publicly
                        re-confirmed Roads Service's intention to
                        proceed with the scheme, and also accepted what
                        they and everyone else already knew which is
                        that "the completion of the M2 Improvements
                          and the M1/Westlink Schemes has resulted in
                          traffic now being delivered much more quickly
                          to the Nelson Street off slip and York Street
                          junction" and that "this has resulted
                          in increased pressure on this part of the road
                          network". The need for this final part of
                        the jigsaw is now self-evident to motorists.
                        Finally, they confirmed that the work which
                        began in June at the York Street end of the
                        Westlink is an "interim measure" and
                        involves "widening the M2 bound carriageway
                          of the Westlink, to provide a dedicated left
                          turn lane to York Street, and extending the
                          length of the existing M3 bound lane."  
                      16 May 2009: According to the
                        minutes
                          of a Roads Service board meeting at the
                        end of March 2009, the Preliminary Options
                        report has now been completed (although not
                        published publicly). The board has now granted
                        "gateway 0" approval. In laymans language, this
                        means that the scheme has been approved, in
                        principle, and they will now proceed to develop
                        more detailed options. Also, an Order
                        comes into force on 22 June 2009 which will
                        result in Henry
                          Street being stopped up at York Street.
                        This is a residential street that currently
                        joins York Street at a T-junction between the
                        Cityside Shopping Centre and the Westlink (with
                        barriers
                        to prevent its use as a rat run). It may be
                        completely unrelated, but it is worth noting
                        that stopping up this junction will make the
                        design of the new York Street interchange much
                        easier. 
                      11 Apr 2009: Speaking to a
                        member of Roads Service, it seems that Roads
                        Service are currently considering a number of
                        possible options for the design of this
                        junction, and that the model pictured above is
                        of just one of these. The options being
                        considered include layouts going over the top of
                        the M3 flyover, and ones that involve going
                        below ground level. Some kind of announcement is
                        likely within the next year or so. It is likely
                        that public pressure will encourage this scheme,
                        since the completion of the Westlink and M2
                        schemes are likely to result in increased
                        congestion at this junction from 2009 and
                        onwards. Construction is currently timetabled
                        for the period 2014-2018.  
                      9 May 2008: At last, the
                        scheme has been given the go-ahead. The document
                        "Investment Delivery Plan For Roads", published
                        in April 2008, includes the plan in the "forward
                        planning schedule" for schemes where permission
                        has been granted to proceed with design and
                        consultation work. Construction is timetabled
                        for the period between 2013 and 2018, but this
                        is an approximate period. 
                      26 Mar 2008:
                        No announcement was made last May as
                        indicated. However, the scheme is very much on
                        the cards. Two developments suggest this is the
                        case: 
                      
                        - An area of land to the east of Nelson Street
                          (beside the former "Clarendon Square"
                          development) was fenced off in the past year
                          and has apparently been purchased with this
                          scheme in mind - for the M2->Westlink
                          sliproad.
 
                        - On 28 November 2007 the Regional Development
                          Minister committed
                            to the scheme, although referring to it
                          as a "longer term" proposal. Nevertheless, he
                          announced that a consultancy firm would be
                          appointed "in the next few weeks" and that
                          they "expect that this proposal will cost
                          around £50 million". 
 
                       
                      Further calls were made
                        in March 2008 by the IEC-CBI Joint Business
                        Council for this scheme to proceed. They argue
                        that "It is crucial to ensure that an
                          efficient freight and logistics system is in
                          place on both sides of the border, in time and
                          with sufficient capacity to encourage rather
                          than to constrain expected economic growth." 
                      Mar 2007: It is thought that
                        the Roads Service are actively pursuing this
                        scheme and currently it seems as if some kind of
                        announcement will be made in May 2007 giving
                        more details about what is proposed.
                        Construction dates are unknown, but traffic
                        congestion will likely make it a priority. I
                        would be surprised if the completed junction was
                        not in place by 2015 at the latest. 
                      Photos 
                        
                      Google Earth image
                        dating from the mid 2000s showing the area in
                        question. The M2 is to the top right, the M3 to
                        the bottom right and the A12 Westlink to the
                        left. York Street runs diagonally from top
                        centre to bottom left. The city centre is below
                        the image and the Port of Belfast is to beyond
                        the top right of the picture. [Picture from
                        Google Earth]  
                      Historical Image 
                         
                      The
                        proposed scheme is reminiscent of this three-way
                        freeflow junction proposed for the same site
                        back in 1967 which would have connected the M2
                        to the two arms of the Belfast Urban Motorway
                        (constructed as A12 Westlink and M3). Full
                          size image. See link at top of page for
                        more details.  
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